Current forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a stable high-pressure system with clear skies and moderate southeasterly winds over Cape Town on September 18, supporting an overnight low near 11–12°C under typical spring conditions. Historical September averages place nighttime minima around 11°C, with the current setup showing limited cloud cover or moisture advection that could moderate radiative cooling. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between 16°C+ and 6°C or below because local microclimates near Table Mountain and slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing introduce meaningful uncertainty around exact minimum thresholds. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service observations will clarify whether katabatic effects or wind shifts push temperatures outside the central range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 18?
6°C or below 80%
16°C or higher 80%
13°C 39%
14°C 39%
6°C or below
80%
7°C
38%
8°C
38%
9°C
25%
10°C
28%
11°C
24%
12°C
21%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
8%
16°C or higher
80%
6°C or below 80%
16°C or higher 80%
13°C 39%
14°C 39%
6°C or below
80%
7°C
38%
8°C
38%
9°C
25%
10°C
28%
11°C
24%
12°C
21%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
8%
16°C or higher
80%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a stable high-pressure system with clear skies and moderate southeasterly winds over Cape Town on September 18, supporting an overnight low near 11–12°C under typical spring conditions. Historical September averages place nighttime minima around 11°C, with the current setup showing limited cloud cover or moisture advection that could moderate radiative cooling. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between 16°C+ and 6°C or below because local microclimates near Table Mountain and slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing introduce meaningful uncertainty around exact minimum thresholds. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service observations will clarify whether katabatic effects or wind shifts push temperatures outside the central range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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