Stable high-pressure systems and clear skies are driving moderate radiative cooling overnight in Cape Town, supporting forecast minimum temperatures of 12–14°C on September 19 under southeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h. These conditions limit extreme overnight drops typical of stronger cold fronts while preventing rapid daytime warming that could raise the daily low. Recent model consensus from multiple agencies shows little deviation from this range, consistent with September climatology where average minima hover near 10°C but current anomalies favor milder readings. The tight market split between 18°C-or-higher and 8°C-or-below outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact local readings across Cape Town’s varied topography and the timing of the daily minimum. Updated forecasts later today could shift probabilities if wind speeds or cloud cover change.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 19?
18°C or higher 93%
8°C or below 91%
9°C 40%
10°C 40%
8°C or below
91%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
22%
12°C
21%
13°C
21%
14°C
39%
15°C
17%
16°C
2%
17°C
17%
18°C or higher
93%
18°C or higher 93%
8°C or below 91%
9°C 40%
10°C 40%
8°C or below
91%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
22%
12°C
21%
13°C
21%
14°C
39%
15°C
17%
16°C
2%
17°C
17%
18°C or higher
93%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Stable high-pressure systems and clear skies are driving moderate radiative cooling overnight in Cape Town, supporting forecast minimum temperatures of 12–14°C on September 19 under southeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h. These conditions limit extreme overnight drops typical of stronger cold fronts while preventing rapid daytime warming that could raise the daily low. Recent model consensus from multiple agencies shows little deviation from this range, consistent with September climatology where average minima hover near 10°C but current anomalies favor milder readings. The tight market split between 18°C-or-higher and 8°C-or-below outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact local readings across Cape Town’s varied topography and the timing of the daily minimum. Updated forecasts later today could shift probabilities if wind speeds or cloud cover change.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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