Recent meteorological forecasts from sources like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS models indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 20 will settle near 8°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure around 750 mmHg. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September and current observational trends showing gradual cooling from daytime highs of 19–21°C. Trader consensus at 95% implied probability for 8°C reflects strong model agreement on these conditions, with limited uncertainty in the final hours before resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from faster radiational cooling under clearer skies than projected or a last-minute shift in steering patterns that drops readings to 7°C or below.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Moscow on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 20?
8°C 95%
7°C 5%
6°C 2%
5°C or below <1%
$4,289 ปริมาณ
$4,289 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
Yes
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
8°C 95%
7°C 5%
6°C 2%
5°C or below <1%
$4,289 ปริมาณ
$4,289 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
5°C or below
$31 ปริมาณ
No
6°C
$0 ปริมาณ
No
7°C
$15 ปริมาณ
No
8°C
$0 ปริมาณ
Yes
9°C
$3,712 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$193 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$276 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$25 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$37 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
No
15°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from sources like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS models indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 20 will settle near 8°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure around 750 mmHg. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September and current observational trends showing gradual cooling from daytime highs of 19–21°C. Trader consensus at 95% implied probability for 8°C reflects strong model agreement on these conditions, with limited uncertainty in the final hours before resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from faster radiational cooling under clearer skies than projected or a last-minute shift in steering patterns that drops readings to 7°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,289วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from sources like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS models indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 20 will settle near 8°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure around 750 mmHg. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September and current observational trends showing gradual cooling from daytime highs of 19–21°C. Trader consensus at 95% implied probability for 8°C reflects strong model agreement on these conditions, with limited uncertainty in the final hours before resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from faster radiational cooling under clearer skies than projected or a last-minute shift in steering patterns that drops readings to 7°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,289วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent meteorological forecasts from sources like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS models indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 20 will settle near 8°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure around 750 mmHg. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September and current observational trends showing gradual cooling from daytime highs of 19–21°C. Trader consensus at 95% implied probability for 8°C reflects strong model agreement on these conditions, with limited uncertainty in the final hours before resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from faster radiational cooling under clearer skies than projected or a last-minute shift in steering patterns that drops readings to 7°C or below.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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