Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 31–32°C on September 20 under sunny periods with east to northeast winds of force 2–3 and low rain chances, supporting the market’s tight clustering around those levels. A strengthening high-pressure ridge and seasonal northeast monsoon flow are limiting cloud build-up and moisture, while the developing strong El Niño and background warming trend favor temperatures at or above the September climatological mean of roughly 30–31°C. Small differences in afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing, or isolated showers could shift the peak by 1°C either way, keeping 31°C and 32°C nearly equally likely in the latest model guidance ahead of final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?
32°C 37%
31°C 32%
33°C 19%
30°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
13%
31°C
32%
32°C
37%
33°C
19%
34°C
9%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 37%
31°C 32%
33°C 19%
30°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
26°C or below
$261 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$68 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
30°C
$17 ปริมาณ
13%
31°C
$185 ปริมาณ
32%
32°C
$368 ปริมาณ
37%
33°C
$84 ปริมาณ
19%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
35°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
36°C or higher
$111 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 31–32°C on September 20 under sunny periods with east to northeast winds of force 2–3 and low rain chances, supporting the market’s tight clustering around those levels. A strengthening high-pressure ridge and seasonal northeast monsoon flow are limiting cloud build-up and moisture, while the developing strong El Niño and background warming trend favor temperatures at or above the September climatological mean of roughly 30–31°C. Small differences in afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing, or isolated showers could shift the peak by 1°C either way, keeping 31°C and 32°C nearly equally likely in the latest model guidance ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,095วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 31–32°C on September 20 under sunny periods with east to northeast winds of force 2–3 and low rain chances, supporting the market’s tight clustering around those levels. A strengthening high-pressure ridge and seasonal northeast monsoon flow are limiting cloud build-up and moisture, while the developing strong El Niño and background warming trend favor temperatures at or above the September climatological mean of roughly 30–31°C. Small differences in afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing, or isolated showers could shift the peak by 1°C either way, keeping 31°C and 32°C nearly equally likely in the latest model guidance ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,095วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 31–32°C on September 20 under sunny periods with east to northeast winds of force 2–3 and low rain chances, supporting the market’s tight clustering around those levels. A strengthening high-pressure ridge and seasonal northeast monsoon flow are limiting cloud build-up and moisture, while the developing strong El Niño and background warming trend favor temperatures at or above the September climatological mean of roughly 30–31°C. Small differences in afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing, or isolated showers could shift the peak by 1°C either way, keeping 31°C and 32°C nearly equally likely in the latest model guidance ahead of final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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