Latest forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service of Argentina show Buenos Aires minimum temperatures on September 20 clustering near 12–14°C, driven by a post-frontal southerly flow advecting cooler air from higher latitudes and moderate cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight. Trader sentiment reflects tight clustering around these values because ensemble guidance diverges modestly on exact wind timing and boundary-layer moisture, with some runs favoring slightly stronger mixing that holds the low near 14°C while others allow brief clearing for a 12°C reading. Historical September climatology places typical minima near 10–12°C, but current synoptic setup with lingering Atlantic moisture and weak pressure gradients supports the market-implied range without pushing probabilities sharply lower. Updated model runs and official observations through the early morning hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 20?
12°C 96%
10°C or below 95%
13°C 50%
14°C 50%
10°C or below
95%
11°C
19%
12°C
96%
13°C
50%
14°C
50%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
1%
12°C 96%
10°C or below 95%
13°C 50%
14°C 50%
10°C or below
95%
11°C
19%
12°C
96%
13°C
50%
14°C
50%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service of Argentina show Buenos Aires minimum temperatures on September 20 clustering near 12–14°C, driven by a post-frontal southerly flow advecting cooler air from higher latitudes and moderate cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight. Trader sentiment reflects tight clustering around these values because ensemble guidance diverges modestly on exact wind timing and boundary-layer moisture, with some runs favoring slightly stronger mixing that holds the low near 14°C while others allow brief clearing for a 12°C reading. Historical September climatology places typical minima near 10–12°C, but current synoptic setup with lingering Atlantic moisture and weak pressure gradients supports the market-implied range without pushing probabilities sharply lower. Updated model runs and official observations through the early morning hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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