Persistent rainy and overcast conditions driven by northerly flow and a nearby low-pressure system are capping daytime warming in Tokyo for September 20, keeping the highest temperature tightly clustered around 23–24°C according to JMA and international model guidance. Heavy cloud cover, high humidity near 90–95%, and steady precipitation reduce solar heating and evaporative cooling effects, while seasonal norms near 26°C highlight how the current synoptic pattern suppresses peaks. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with minimal risk of clearing that could allow 25°C or higher, aligning trader consensus on the 22–24°C range as the most probable outcome ahead of final observational data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 20?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 20?
23°C 34%
24°C 31%
22°C 18%
26°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
19°C or below
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
7%
22°C
18%
23°C
34%
24°C
28%
25°C
6%
26°C
11%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C or higher
1%
23°C 34%
24°C 31%
22°C 18%
26°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
19°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
21°C
$8 ปริมาณ
7%
22°C
$5 ปริมาณ
18%
23°C
$482 ปริมาณ
34%
24°C
$3 ปริมาณ
28%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
27°C
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
29°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rainy and overcast conditions driven by northerly flow and a nearby low-pressure system are capping daytime warming in Tokyo for September 20, keeping the highest temperature tightly clustered around 23–24°C according to JMA and international model guidance. Heavy cloud cover, high humidity near 90–95%, and steady precipitation reduce solar heating and evaporative cooling effects, while seasonal norms near 26°C highlight how the current synoptic pattern suppresses peaks. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with minimal risk of clearing that could allow 25°C or higher, aligning trader consensus on the 22–24°C range as the most probable outcome ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$507วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rainy and overcast conditions driven by northerly flow and a nearby low-pressure system are capping daytime warming in Tokyo for September 20, keeping the highest temperature tightly clustered around 23–24°C according to JMA and international model guidance. Heavy cloud cover, high humidity near 90–95%, and steady precipitation reduce solar heating and evaporative cooling effects, while seasonal norms near 26°C highlight how the current synoptic pattern suppresses peaks. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with minimal risk of clearing that could allow 25°C or higher, aligning trader consensus on the 22–24°C range as the most probable outcome ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$507วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rainy and overcast conditions driven by northerly flow and a nearby low-pressure system are capping daytime warming in Tokyo for September 20, keeping the highest temperature tightly clustered around 23–24°C according to JMA and international model guidance. Heavy cloud cover, high humidity near 90–95%, and steady precipitation reduce solar heating and evaporative cooling effects, while seasonal norms near 26°C highlight how the current synoptic pattern suppresses peaks. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with minimal risk of clearing that could allow 25°C or higher, aligning trader consensus on the 22–24°C range as the most probable outcome ahead of final observational data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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