Forecast models for Buenos Aires on September 20 show high uncertainty in peak temperatures, with most runs projecting afternoon highs of 21–24°C amid increasing cloud cover, northerly flow, and a 60–85% chance of showers or thunderstorms by midday. Recent satellite and surface observations indicate mild spring conditions with dew points near 14–16°C and light winds, but the timing of an approaching cold front and associated precipitation will determine whether solar heating reaches 25–26°C before cooling or whether widespread rain suppresses maxima closer to 22–23°C. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF diverges on convective intensity and exact frontal passage, producing the tight market spread around 24–26°C as traders weigh these variables against historical September variability of roughly 3–4°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 20?
24°C 18%
26°C 17%
23°C 15%
25°C 14%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
9%
23°C
15%
24°C
19%
25°C
14%
26°C
17%
27°C
11%
28°C or higher
10%
24°C 18%
26°C 17%
23°C 15%
25°C 14%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
9%
23°C
15%
24°C
19%
25°C
14%
26°C
17%
27°C
11%
28°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Buenos Aires on September 20 show high uncertainty in peak temperatures, with most runs projecting afternoon highs of 21–24°C amid increasing cloud cover, northerly flow, and a 60–85% chance of showers or thunderstorms by midday. Recent satellite and surface observations indicate mild spring conditions with dew points near 14–16°C and light winds, but the timing of an approaching cold front and associated precipitation will determine whether solar heating reaches 25–26°C before cooling or whether widespread rain suppresses maxima closer to 22–23°C. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF diverges on convective intensity and exact frontal passage, producing the tight market spread around 24–26°C as traders weigh these variables against historical September variability of roughly 3–4°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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