Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a minimum temperature of around 13°C in Mexico City on September 20, 2026, driven by the city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters and typical late-September nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly overcast skies with light drizzle. These conditions moderate temperature drops compared to clear nights, aligning with historical September average lows of 12–13°C and current model runs showing early-morning readings near 12–13°C before daytime warming to the mid-20s. Trader positioning around the 13°C threshold reflects this stable outlook, with lower probabilities for colder thresholds reflecting the limited influence of any stronger cold air advection or clearer skies that could enhance cooling. Updated observations and short-term model refinements will likely refine these implied probabilities as the day concludes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 20?
7°C or below 99%
11°C 99%
12°C 95%
13°C 90%
$661 ปริมาณ
$661 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
7°C or below
99%
8°C
14%
9°C
11%
10°C
13%
11°C
99%
12°C
95%
13°C
90%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
7°C or below 99%
11°C 99%
12°C 95%
13°C 90%
$661 ปริมาณ
$661 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
7°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
99%
8°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
99%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
95%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
90%
14°C
$114 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$321 ปริมาณ
1%
16°C
$204 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C or higher
$22 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a minimum temperature of around 13°C in Mexico City on September 20, 2026, driven by the city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters and typical late-September nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly overcast skies with light drizzle. These conditions moderate temperature drops compared to clear nights, aligning with historical September average lows of 12–13°C and current model runs showing early-morning readings near 12–13°C before daytime warming to the mid-20s. Trader positioning around the 13°C threshold reflects this stable outlook, with lower probabilities for colder thresholds reflecting the limited influence of any stronger cold air advection or clearer skies that could enhance cooling. Updated observations and short-term model refinements will likely refine these implied probabilities as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$661วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a minimum temperature of around 13°C in Mexico City on September 20, 2026, driven by the city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters and typical late-September nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly overcast skies with light drizzle. These conditions moderate temperature drops compared to clear nights, aligning with historical September average lows of 12–13°C and current model runs showing early-morning readings near 12–13°C before daytime warming to the mid-20s. Trader positioning around the 13°C threshold reflects this stable outlook, with lower probabilities for colder thresholds reflecting the limited influence of any stronger cold air advection or clearer skies that could enhance cooling. Updated observations and short-term model refinements will likely refine these implied probabilities as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$661วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a minimum temperature of around 13°C in Mexico City on September 20, 2026, driven by the city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters and typical late-September nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly overcast skies with light drizzle. These conditions moderate temperature drops compared to clear nights, aligning with historical September average lows of 12–13°C and current model runs showing early-morning readings near 12–13°C before daytime warming to the mid-20s. Trader positioning around the 13°C threshold reflects this stable outlook, with lower probabilities for colder thresholds reflecting the limited influence of any stronger cold air advection or clearer skies that could enhance cooling. Updated observations and short-term model refinements will likely refine these implied probabilities as the day concludes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย