**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers currently project a minimum temperature in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit for Houston on September 22, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds.** Persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome maintain daytime highs near 95–97°F, limiting nocturnal cooling and keeping overnight lows well above seasonal norms for late September. Recent model runs show little disagreement on steering patterns or moisture, though a weakening heat dome and potential frontal approach later in the week introduce minor uncertainty for the exact overnight minimum. Trader consensus remains nearly evenly split between sub-72°F and 90°F+ outcomes because the market resolves on a single observed low, where even a 2–3°F shift from revised guidance or localized effects can determine the outcome. Updated National Weather Service briefings and next model cycles will likely tighten implied probabilities ahead of the 22nd.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Houston on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Houston on September 22?
78-79°F 40%
80-81°F 39%
76-77°F 19%
82-83°F 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 22, 2026
71°F or below
5%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
5%
90°F or higher
5%
78-79°F 40%
80-81°F 39%
76-77°F 19%
82-83°F 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 22, 2026
71°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
72-73°F
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
78-79°F
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
82-83°F
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
84-85°F
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
86-87°F
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
88-89°F
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
90°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers currently project a minimum temperature in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit for Houston on September 22, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds.** Persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome maintain daytime highs near 95–97°F, limiting nocturnal cooling and keeping overnight lows well above seasonal norms for late September. Recent model runs show little disagreement on steering patterns or moisture, though a weakening heat dome and potential frontal approach later in the week introduce minor uncertainty for the exact overnight minimum. Trader consensus remains nearly evenly split between sub-72°F and 90°F+ outcomes because the market resolves on a single observed low, where even a 2–3°F shift from revised guidance or localized effects can determine the outcome. Updated National Weather Service briefings and next model cycles will likely tighten implied probabilities ahead of the 22nd.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers currently project a minimum temperature in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit for Houston on September 22, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds.** Persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome maintain daytime highs near 95–97°F, limiting nocturnal cooling and keeping overnight lows well above seasonal norms for late September. Recent model runs show little disagreement on steering patterns or moisture, though a weakening heat dome and potential frontal approach later in the week introduce minor uncertainty for the exact overnight minimum. Trader consensus remains nearly evenly split between sub-72°F and 90°F+ outcomes because the market resolves on a single observed low, where even a 2–3°F shift from revised guidance or localized effects can determine the outcome. Updated National Weather Service briefings and next model cycles will likely tighten implied probabilities ahead of the 22nd.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers currently project a minimum temperature in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit for Houston on September 22, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds.** Persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome maintain daytime highs near 95–97°F, limiting nocturnal cooling and keeping overnight lows well above seasonal norms for late September. Recent model runs show little disagreement on steering patterns or moisture, though a weakening heat dome and potential frontal approach later in the week introduce minor uncertainty for the exact overnight minimum. Trader consensus remains nearly evenly split between sub-72°F and 90°F+ outcomes because the market resolves on a single observed low, where even a 2–3°F shift from revised guidance or localized effects can determine the outcome. Updated National Weather Service briefings and next model cycles will likely tighten implied probabilities ahead of the 22nd.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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