Recent forecasts for Cape Town on September 22 indicate a warm spring day with highs likely between 25–31°C amid variable model guidance, keeping trader probabilities clustered around 27–34°C. Key drivers include strengthening northerly flow ahead of an approaching cold front, which could enhance warming through adiabatic compression and reduced marine influence, versus earlier sea breezes or increased cloud cover that cap peaks. Ensemble spreads from agencies like the South African Weather Service and global models reflect this uncertainty, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings at established stations. The cooler shift expected by September 23 further compresses the window for extreme values above 34°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 22?
31°C 40%
28°C 39%
34°C 39%
32°C 23%
26°C or below
7%
27°C
20%
28°C
39%
29°C
20%
30°C
20%
31°C
40%
32°C
23%
33°C
17%
34°C
39%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
4%
31°C 40%
28°C 39%
34°C 39%
32°C 23%
26°C or below
7%
27°C
20%
28°C
39%
29°C
20%
30°C
20%
31°C
40%
32°C
23%
33°C
17%
34°C
39%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Cape Town on September 22 indicate a warm spring day with highs likely between 25–31°C amid variable model guidance, keeping trader probabilities clustered around 27–34°C. Key drivers include strengthening northerly flow ahead of an approaching cold front, which could enhance warming through adiabatic compression and reduced marine influence, versus earlier sea breezes or increased cloud cover that cap peaks. Ensemble spreads from agencies like the South African Weather Service and global models reflect this uncertainty, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings at established stations. The cooler shift expected by September 23 further compresses the window for extreme values above 34°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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