**Cooler easterly flow and increased cloud cover are the main drivers keeping Toronto’s September 19 high temperature forecast centered on 17–18 °C.** Official model runs show a shift to northeast winds advecting cooler air off the lake and Atlantic, combined with mostly cloudy skies that reduce daytime solar heating compared with the clearer, warmer conditions earlier in the week. This produces afternoon highs clustered tightly around 63–65 °F (17–18 °C), with limited upside potential unless unexpected clearing occurs. Minor differences in forecast wind strength, cloud thickness, or the exact timing of any brief sun breaks explain the close market split among 17 °C, 18 °C, and 19 °C outcomes, while historical late-September averages near 21 °C underscore the current below-normal setup. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these narrow probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Toronto on September 19?
17°C 41%
18°C 34%
19°C 16%
15°C 14%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
6%
15°C
14%
16°C
7%
17°C
41%
18°C
34%
19°C
16%
20°C
6%
21°C
10%
22°C or higher
4%
17°C 41%
18°C 34%
19°C 16%
15°C 14%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
6%
15°C
14%
16°C
7%
17°C
41%
18°C
34%
19°C
16%
20°C
6%
21°C
10%
22°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Cooler easterly flow and increased cloud cover are the main drivers keeping Toronto’s September 19 high temperature forecast centered on 17–18 °C.** Official model runs show a shift to northeast winds advecting cooler air off the lake and Atlantic, combined with mostly cloudy skies that reduce daytime solar heating compared with the clearer, warmer conditions earlier in the week. This produces afternoon highs clustered tightly around 63–65 °F (17–18 °C), with limited upside potential unless unexpected clearing occurs. Minor differences in forecast wind strength, cloud thickness, or the exact timing of any brief sun breaks explain the close market split among 17 °C, 18 °C, and 19 °C outcomes, while historical late-September averages near 21 °C underscore the current below-normal setup. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these narrow probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย