Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs show London under weak high pressure with light southerly flow, keeping forecast highs tightly clustered around 20–21 °C for September 17. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could add or subtract 1 °C, while Atlantic fronts remain too far north to deliver cooler air. Historical mid-September normals near 19 °C provide context, yet current 500 hPa anomalies favor the slightly warmer outcome now priced at 39.5 % for 21 °C versus 44.5 % for 20 °C. Updated 12 UTC runs and any overnight stratus development will be the next catalysts likely to shift these closely matched probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on September 17?
Highest temperature in London on September 17?
20°C 45%
21°C 40%
19°C 12%
22°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 17, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
6%
19°C
12%
20°C
45%
21°C
40%
22°C
8%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 45%
21°C 40%
19°C 12%
22°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 17, 2026
15°C or below
$117 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
18°C
$54 ปริมาณ
6%
19°C
$58 ปริมาณ
12%
20°C
$252 ปริมาณ
45%
21°C
$19 ปริมาณ
40%
22°C
$149 ปริมาณ
8%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
24°C
$57 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C or higher
$111 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs show London under weak high pressure with light southerly flow, keeping forecast highs tightly clustered around 20–21 °C for September 17. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could add or subtract 1 °C, while Atlantic fronts remain too far north to deliver cooler air. Historical mid-September normals near 19 °C provide context, yet current 500 hPa anomalies favor the slightly warmer outcome now priced at 39.5 % for 21 °C versus 44.5 % for 20 °C. Updated 12 UTC runs and any overnight stratus development will be the next catalysts likely to shift these closely matched probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$818วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs show London under weak high pressure with light southerly flow, keeping forecast highs tightly clustered around 20–21 °C for September 17. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could add or subtract 1 °C, while Atlantic fronts remain too far north to deliver cooler air. Historical mid-September normals near 19 °C provide context, yet current 500 hPa anomalies favor the slightly warmer outcome now priced at 39.5 % for 21 °C versus 44.5 % for 20 °C. Updated 12 UTC runs and any overnight stratus development will be the next catalysts likely to shift these closely matched probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$818วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs show London under weak high pressure with light southerly flow, keeping forecast highs tightly clustered around 20–21 °C for September 17. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could add or subtract 1 °C, while Atlantic fronts remain too far north to deliver cooler air. Historical mid-September normals near 19 °C provide context, yet current 500 hPa anomalies favor the slightly warmer outcome now priced at 39.5 % for 21 °C versus 44.5 % for 20 °C. Updated 12 UTC runs and any overnight stratus development will be the next catalysts likely to shift these closely matched probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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