**National Weather Service forecasts call for sunny skies and a high near 72°F in San Francisco on September 19, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins.** Onshore flow and the marine layer, which typically keeps coastal highs in the upper 60s to low 70s during September, continue to moderate temperatures despite a recent warming trend noted in short-term guidance. Historical climatology shows an average daily high of 70.8°F for the date, with recent model runs and local observations aligning closely with this range. Traders appear to be pricing in limited upside from interior heat or offshore flow shifts, as probabilities drop sharply above 75°F and below 68°F. Updated NWS briefings and any late adjustments to marine layer depth remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 19?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 19?
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F 19%
68-69°F 18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 19, 2026
65°F or below
5%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
2%
84°F or higher
1%
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F 19%
68-69°F 18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 19, 2026
65°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
66-67°F
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
68-69°F
$82 ปริมาณ
18%
70-71°F
$490 ปริมาณ
39%
72-73°F
$116 ปริมาณ
27%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
78-79°F
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
82-83°F
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
84°F or higher
$16 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts call for sunny skies and a high near 72°F in San Francisco on September 19, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins.** Onshore flow and the marine layer, which typically keeps coastal highs in the upper 60s to low 70s during September, continue to moderate temperatures despite a recent warming trend noted in short-term guidance. Historical climatology shows an average daily high of 70.8°F for the date, with recent model runs and local observations aligning closely with this range. Traders appear to be pricing in limited upside from interior heat or offshore flow shifts, as probabilities drop sharply above 75°F and below 68°F. Updated NWS briefings and any late adjustments to marine layer depth remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$704วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 7:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts call for sunny skies and a high near 72°F in San Francisco on September 19, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins.** Onshore flow and the marine layer, which typically keeps coastal highs in the upper 60s to low 70s during September, continue to moderate temperatures despite a recent warming trend noted in short-term guidance. Historical climatology shows an average daily high of 70.8°F for the date, with recent model runs and local observations aligning closely with this range. Traders appear to be pricing in limited upside from interior heat or offshore flow shifts, as probabilities drop sharply above 75°F and below 68°F. Updated NWS briefings and any late adjustments to marine layer depth remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$704วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 7:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**National Weather Service forecasts call for sunny skies and a high near 72°F in San Francisco on September 19, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins.** Onshore flow and the marine layer, which typically keeps coastal highs in the upper 60s to low 70s during September, continue to moderate temperatures despite a recent warming trend noted in short-term guidance. Historical climatology shows an average daily high of 70.8°F for the date, with recent model runs and local observations aligning closely with this range. Traders appear to be pricing in limited upside from interior heat or offshore flow shifts, as probabilities drop sharply above 75°F and below 68°F. Updated NWS briefings and any late adjustments to marine layer depth remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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