Recent cold fronts and spring variability in the Benguela Current region have created near-even market odds between sub-13°C minima and readings above 22°C for Cape Town on September 22. A mid-September system delivered unusually low temperatures and wind-chill effects through the Western Cape, leaving traders sensitive to any follow-on cooling, while current model guidance shows rapid warming with daytime highs climbing into the mid-20s°C and overnight lows recovering toward seasonal norms near 11–14°C. Key differentiators include steering patterns that could either sustain onshore flow or allow warmer northerly advection, plus cloud cover and precipitation that modulate radiative cooling overnight. Official South African Weather Service updates and ensemble runs through the next 48 hours will likely resolve the tight spread between these scenarios.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 22?
12°C or below 96%
22°C or higher 91%
16°C 40%
13°C 39%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 22, 2026
12°C or below
96%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
40%
17°C
23%
18°C
22%
19°C
21%
20°C
21%
21°C
39%
22°C or higher
91%
12°C or below 96%
22°C or higher 91%
16°C 40%
13°C 39%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 22, 2026
12°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
96%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
22°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold fronts and spring variability in the Benguela Current region have created near-even market odds between sub-13°C minima and readings above 22°C for Cape Town on September 22. A mid-September system delivered unusually low temperatures and wind-chill effects through the Western Cape, leaving traders sensitive to any follow-on cooling, while current model guidance shows rapid warming with daytime highs climbing into the mid-20s°C and overnight lows recovering toward seasonal norms near 11–14°C. Key differentiators include steering patterns that could either sustain onshore flow or allow warmer northerly advection, plus cloud cover and precipitation that modulate radiative cooling overnight. Official South African Weather Service updates and ensemble runs through the next 48 hours will likely resolve the tight spread between these scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold fronts and spring variability in the Benguela Current region have created near-even market odds between sub-13°C minima and readings above 22°C for Cape Town on September 22. A mid-September system delivered unusually low temperatures and wind-chill effects through the Western Cape, leaving traders sensitive to any follow-on cooling, while current model guidance shows rapid warming with daytime highs climbing into the mid-20s°C and overnight lows recovering toward seasonal norms near 11–14°C. Key differentiators include steering patterns that could either sustain onshore flow or allow warmer northerly advection, plus cloud cover and precipitation that modulate radiative cooling overnight. Official South African Weather Service updates and ensemble runs through the next 48 hours will likely resolve the tight spread between these scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold fronts and spring variability in the Benguela Current region have created near-even market odds between sub-13°C minima and readings above 22°C for Cape Town on September 22. A mid-September system delivered unusually low temperatures and wind-chill effects through the Western Cape, leaving traders sensitive to any follow-on cooling, while current model guidance shows rapid warming with daytime highs climbing into the mid-20s°C and overnight lows recovering toward seasonal norms near 11–14°C. Key differentiators include steering patterns that could either sustain onshore flow or allow warmer northerly advection, plus cloud cover and precipitation that modulate radiative cooling overnight. Official South African Weather Service updates and ensemble runs through the next 48 hours will likely resolve the tight spread between these scenarios.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย