Strong southwest winds and clearing skies behind a frontal passage on September 20 are the main drivers pushing trader focus toward a low near or below 7°C for Buenos Aires on the 21st. Multiple models indicate the minimum will occur in the pre-dawn hours under partly cloudy to clear conditions, with dew points falling into the low single digits Celsius and radiative cooling enhanced by 20–30 mph gusts. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and local forecasts centers on 5–10°C, creating the near-even split between the sub-7°C bucket (46.5% implied) and warmer outcomes. Model spread in overnight cloud cover and wind timing introduces the primary uncertainty, while historical September minima in the city rarely exceed 10°C under similar post-frontal setups. Updated model runs and official minimum readings expected by early morning will likely resolve the tight market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 21?
7°C or below 100%
17°C or higher 94%
10°C 40%
8°C 30%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 21, 2026
7°C or below
100%
8°C
30%
9°C
22%
10°C
40%
11°C
22%
12°C
22%
13°C
19%
14°C
5%
15°C
17%
16°C
5%
17°C or higher
94%
7°C or below 100%
17°C or higher 94%
10°C 40%
8°C 30%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 21, 2026
7°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
100%
8°C
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
13°C
$90 ปริมาณ
19%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
17°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong southwest winds and clearing skies behind a frontal passage on September 20 are the main drivers pushing trader focus toward a low near or below 7°C for Buenos Aires on the 21st. Multiple models indicate the minimum will occur in the pre-dawn hours under partly cloudy to clear conditions, with dew points falling into the low single digits Celsius and radiative cooling enhanced by 20–30 mph gusts. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and local forecasts centers on 5–10°C, creating the near-even split between the sub-7°C bucket (46.5% implied) and warmer outcomes. Model spread in overnight cloud cover and wind timing introduces the primary uncertainty, while historical September minima in the city rarely exceed 10°C under similar post-frontal setups. Updated model runs and official minimum readings expected by early morning will likely resolve the tight market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$90วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong southwest winds and clearing skies behind a frontal passage on September 20 are the main drivers pushing trader focus toward a low near or below 7°C for Buenos Aires on the 21st. Multiple models indicate the minimum will occur in the pre-dawn hours under partly cloudy to clear conditions, with dew points falling into the low single digits Celsius and radiative cooling enhanced by 20–30 mph gusts. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and local forecasts centers on 5–10°C, creating the near-even split between the sub-7°C bucket (46.5% implied) and warmer outcomes. Model spread in overnight cloud cover and wind timing introduces the primary uncertainty, while historical September minima in the city rarely exceed 10°C under similar post-frontal setups. Updated model runs and official minimum readings expected by early morning will likely resolve the tight market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$90วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Strong southwest winds and clearing skies behind a frontal passage on September 20 are the main drivers pushing trader focus toward a low near or below 7°C for Buenos Aires on the 21st. Multiple models indicate the minimum will occur in the pre-dawn hours under partly cloudy to clear conditions, with dew points falling into the low single digits Celsius and radiative cooling enhanced by 20–30 mph gusts. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and local forecasts centers on 5–10°C, creating the near-even split between the sub-7°C bucket (46.5% implied) and warmer outcomes. Model spread in overnight cloud cover and wind timing introduces the primary uncertainty, while historical September minima in the city rarely exceed 10°C under similar post-frontal setups. Updated model runs and official minimum readings expected by early morning will likely resolve the tight market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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