**Clear skies, stable high pressure, and light winds are positioning Madrid for a peak temperature of 32–33°C on September 21.** Official forecasts from AEMET and global models (including ECMWF and GFS runs) show maximums near 31–33°C under anticyclonic conditions with minimal cloud cover, allowing strong daytime solar heating. Recent observations confirm September 2026 has run 2–3°C above the 1991–2020 average high of ~26.5°C, with dry air and negligible precipitation supporting further warming. The market-implied odds—54.5% for 33°C and 41.5% for 32°C—align with this narrow forecast range and typical model spread of ±1–2°C for a 24-hour outlook. Resolution will hinge on the official AEMET station reading, with little expectation of significant deviation given the consistent steering pattern and lack of incoming fronts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on September 21?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 21?
33°C 54%
32°C 42%
34°C 5%
35°C 1.2%
ใหม่
$15,624 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,624 ปริมาณ
Sep 21, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
42%
33°C
54%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 54%
32°C 42%
34°C 5%
35°C 1.2%
ใหม่
$15,624 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,624 ปริมาณ
Sep 21, 2026
26°C or below
$691 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$300 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$486 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$135 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$296 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$1,071 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$5,571 ปริมาณ
42%
33°C
$4,483 ปริมาณ
54%
34°C
$1,972 ปริมาณ
5%
35°C
$464 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C or higher
$155 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, stable high pressure, and light winds are positioning Madrid for a peak temperature of 32–33°C on September 21.** Official forecasts from AEMET and global models (including ECMWF and GFS runs) show maximums near 31–33°C under anticyclonic conditions with minimal cloud cover, allowing strong daytime solar heating. Recent observations confirm September 2026 has run 2–3°C above the 1991–2020 average high of ~26.5°C, with dry air and negligible precipitation supporting further warming. The market-implied odds—54.5% for 33°C and 41.5% for 32°C—align with this narrow forecast range and typical model spread of ±1–2°C for a 24-hour outlook. Resolution will hinge on the official AEMET station reading, with little expectation of significant deviation given the consistent steering pattern and lack of incoming fronts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,624วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, stable high pressure, and light winds are positioning Madrid for a peak temperature of 32–33°C on September 21.** Official forecasts from AEMET and global models (including ECMWF and GFS runs) show maximums near 31–33°C under anticyclonic conditions with minimal cloud cover, allowing strong daytime solar heating. Recent observations confirm September 2026 has run 2–3°C above the 1991–2020 average high of ~26.5°C, with dry air and negligible precipitation supporting further warming. The market-implied odds—54.5% for 33°C and 41.5% for 32°C—align with this narrow forecast range and typical model spread of ±1–2°C for a 24-hour outlook. Resolution will hinge on the official AEMET station reading, with little expectation of significant deviation given the consistent steering pattern and lack of incoming fronts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,624วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies, stable high pressure, and light winds are positioning Madrid for a peak temperature of 32–33°C on September 21.** Official forecasts from AEMET and global models (including ECMWF and GFS runs) show maximums near 31–33°C under anticyclonic conditions with minimal cloud cover, allowing strong daytime solar heating. Recent observations confirm September 2026 has run 2–3°C above the 1991–2020 average high of ~26.5°C, with dry air and negligible precipitation supporting further warming. The market-implied odds—54.5% for 33°C and 41.5% for 32°C—align with this narrow forecast range and typical model spread of ±1–2°C for a 24-hour outlook. Resolution will hinge on the official AEMET station reading, with little expectation of significant deviation given the consistent steering pattern and lack of incoming fronts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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