Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a stable high-pressure system dominating the Korean Peninsula on September 21, with clear skies, light northeasterly winds around 10-15 km/h, and minimal cloud cover promoting strong daytime solar insolation. This setup supports afternoon highs clustering near 27-28°C in Busan, where coastal moderation and urban heat effects create narrow uncertainty bands around the daily maximum. Trader consensus favoring 28-29°C reflects model agreement on these conditions while acknowledging minor spread from slight variations in boundary-layer mixing or exact timing of peak heating, with lower probabilities on 30°C tied to any unexpected warming aloft. Updated guidance expected from KMA later today could refine resolution thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Busan on September 21?
29°C 45%
28°C 39%
30°C 14%
27°C 3%
$13,856 ปริมาณ
$13,856 ปริมาณ
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
39%
29°C
45%
30°C
14%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 45%
28°C 39%
30°C 14%
27°C 3%
$13,856 ปริมาณ
$13,856 ปริมาณ
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
39%
29°C
45%
30°C
14%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a stable high-pressure system dominating the Korean Peninsula on September 21, with clear skies, light northeasterly winds around 10-15 km/h, and minimal cloud cover promoting strong daytime solar insolation. This setup supports afternoon highs clustering near 27-28°C in Busan, where coastal moderation and urban heat effects create narrow uncertainty bands around the daily maximum. Trader consensus favoring 28-29°C reflects model agreement on these conditions while acknowledging minor spread from slight variations in boundary-layer mixing or exact timing of peak heating, with lower probabilities on 30°C tied to any unexpected warming aloft. Updated guidance expected from KMA later today could refine resolution thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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