Latest National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Miami point to overnight lows in the mid-70s on September 20, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and light variable winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High dew points near 76°F and cloud cover from afternoon convection further moderate temperature drops, aligning with the season’s above-normal baseline after an unusually warm summer. Trader sentiment clusters on the 74–77°F bins because ensemble spreads and small timing shifts in precipitation or wind could push the minimum a degree or two either way, while the narrow probabilities between leading outcomes reflect genuine uncertainty in the final observed low before resolution. Updated model runs and surface observations through the weekend will provide the next key data points for refining these market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Miami on September 20?
72-73°F 36%
76-77°F 33%
74-75°F 31%
70-71°F 19%
69°F or below
11%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
36%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 36%
76-77°F 33%
74-75°F 31%
70-71°F 19%
69°F or below
11%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
36%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Miami point to overnight lows in the mid-70s on September 20, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and light variable winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High dew points near 76°F and cloud cover from afternoon convection further moderate temperature drops, aligning with the season’s above-normal baseline after an unusually warm summer. Trader sentiment clusters on the 74–77°F bins because ensemble spreads and small timing shifts in precipitation or wind could push the minimum a degree or two either way, while the narrow probabilities between leading outcomes reflect genuine uncertainty in the final observed low before resolution. Updated model runs and surface observations through the weekend will provide the next key data points for refining these market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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