**Northeast monsoon flow is the dominant factor keeping Taipei's September 18 daytime maximum in the narrow 29–32 °C range favored by traders.** Persistent northeasterly winds advect cooler, moister maritime air across northern Taiwan, limiting solar heating and producing scattered showers or drizzle that further cap temperatures. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and multiple numerical models converge on highs of 29–31 °C, with isolated guidance reaching 32 °C under brief clearing; this distribution directly explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 31 °C (49.5 %) and the secondary probabilities at 30 °C and 32 °C. No tropical systems or abrupt synoptic shifts are indicated in the latest runs, so the current consensus is expected to hold unless the monsoon weakens more rapidly than anticipated before peak heating.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Taipei on September 18?
Highest temperature in Taipei on September 18?
31°C 50%
32°C 25%
30°C 22%
33°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 18, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
22%
31°C
50%
32°C
25%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 50%
32°C 25%
30°C 22%
33°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 18, 2026
25°C or below
$138 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$158 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$171 ปริมาณ
4%
30°C
$439 ปริมาณ
22%
31°C
$1,107 ปริมาณ
50%
32°C
$562 ปริมาณ
25%
33°C
$969 ปริมาณ
6%
34°C
$20 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C or higher
$179 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northeast monsoon flow is the dominant factor keeping Taipei's September 18 daytime maximum in the narrow 29–32 °C range favored by traders.** Persistent northeasterly winds advect cooler, moister maritime air across northern Taiwan, limiting solar heating and producing scattered showers or drizzle that further cap temperatures. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and multiple numerical models converge on highs of 29–31 °C, with isolated guidance reaching 32 °C under brief clearing; this distribution directly explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 31 °C (49.5 %) and the secondary probabilities at 30 °C and 32 °C. No tropical systems or abrupt synoptic shifts are indicated in the latest runs, so the current consensus is expected to hold unless the monsoon weakens more rapidly than anticipated before peak heating.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,743วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northeast monsoon flow is the dominant factor keeping Taipei's September 18 daytime maximum in the narrow 29–32 °C range favored by traders.** Persistent northeasterly winds advect cooler, moister maritime air across northern Taiwan, limiting solar heating and producing scattered showers or drizzle that further cap temperatures. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and multiple numerical models converge on highs of 29–31 °C, with isolated guidance reaching 32 °C under brief clearing; this distribution directly explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 31 °C (49.5 %) and the secondary probabilities at 30 °C and 32 °C. No tropical systems or abrupt synoptic shifts are indicated in the latest runs, so the current consensus is expected to hold unless the monsoon weakens more rapidly than anticipated before peak heating.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,743วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Northeast monsoon flow is the dominant factor keeping Taipei's September 18 daytime maximum in the narrow 29–32 °C range favored by traders.** Persistent northeasterly winds advect cooler, moister maritime air across northern Taiwan, limiting solar heating and producing scattered showers or drizzle that further cap temperatures. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and multiple numerical models converge on highs of 29–31 °C, with isolated guidance reaching 32 °C under brief clearing; this distribution directly explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 31 °C (49.5 %) and the secondary probabilities at 30 °C and 32 °C. No tropical systems or abrupt synoptic shifts are indicated in the latest runs, so the current consensus is expected to hold unless the monsoon weakens more rapidly than anticipated before peak heating.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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