**Forecast models from multiple agencies converge on a daytime maximum near 21°C for Warsaw on September 18, 2026, driving the 44.5% market-implied probability for that exact outcome.** After a warmer mid-September peak near 24–25°C on the 16th, a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover associated with light rain or showers are expected to moderate temperatures, limiting solar heating on the 18th. This aligns with typical early-autumn transitions in central Europe, where September averages hover around 18–20°C. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering between 20–22°C, with lower odds for 23°C+ reflecting limited warming potential under the prevailing synoptic pattern. Updated runs from sources like the Met Office and regional models will refine wind, cloud, and precipitation details ahead of the market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 18?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 18?
21°C 44%
20°C 25%
22°C 24%
19°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
10%
19°C
14%
20°C
25%
21°C
44%
22°C
24%
23°C
12%
24°C
5%
25°C or higher
7%
21°C 44%
20°C 25%
22°C 24%
19°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
20°C
$10 ปริมาณ
25%
21°C
$88 ปริมาณ
44%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
25°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple agencies converge on a daytime maximum near 21°C for Warsaw on September 18, 2026, driving the 44.5% market-implied probability for that exact outcome.**
After a warmer mid-September peak near 24–25°C on the 16th, a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover associated with light rain or showers are expected to moderate temperatures, limiting solar heating on the 18th. This aligns with typical early-autumn transitions in central Europe, where September averages hover around 18–20°C. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering between 20–22°C, with lower odds for 23°C+ reflecting limited warming potential under the prevailing synoptic pattern. Updated runs from sources like the Met Office and regional models will refine wind, cloud, and precipitation details ahead of the market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$98วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple agencies converge on a daytime maximum near 21°C for Warsaw on September 18, 2026, driving the 44.5% market-implied probability for that exact outcome.**
After a warmer mid-September peak near 24–25°C on the 16th, a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover associated with light rain or showers are expected to moderate temperatures, limiting solar heating on the 18th. This aligns with typical early-autumn transitions in central Europe, where September averages hover around 18–20°C. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering between 20–22°C, with lower odds for 23°C+ reflecting limited warming potential under the prevailing synoptic pattern. Updated runs from sources like the Met Office and regional models will refine wind, cloud, and precipitation details ahead of the market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$98วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from multiple agencies converge on a daytime maximum near 21°C for Warsaw on September 18, 2026, driving the 44.5% market-implied probability for that exact outcome.** After a warmer mid-September peak near 24–25°C on the 16th, a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover associated with light rain or showers are expected to moderate temperatures, limiting solar heating on the 18th. This aligns with typical early-autumn transitions in central Europe, where September averages hover around 18–20°C. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering between 20–22°C, with lower odds for 23°C+ reflecting limited warming potential under the prevailing synoptic pattern. Updated runs from sources like the Met Office and regional models will refine wind, cloud, and precipitation details ahead of the market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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