Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature of 16–17°C for London on September 19, driven by persistent mild southwesterly flow and extensive low cloud that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Overnight readings are expected to bottom out near 16°C under overcast skies with dew points around 14°C, while any clearer spells could briefly allow a dip toward 15°C or hold near 17°C. These conditions align with the current market-implied odds favoring 17°C (54%) and 16°C (31.5%), reflecting trader consensus on limited temperature variance given stable model runs and the absence of stronger high pressure or northerly advection. Updated forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final calibration before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on September 19?
Lowest temperature in London on September 19?
17°C 54%
16°C 33%
18°C 17%
19°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 19, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
33%
17°C
54%
18°C
17%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 54%
16°C 33%
18°C 17%
19°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 19, 2026
12°C or below
$41 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$41 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$41 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$164 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$2,407 ปริมาณ
33%
17°C
$1,277 ปริมาณ
54%
18°C
$2,007 ปริมาณ
17%
19°C
$205 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C
$41 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$31 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C or higher
$31 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature of 16–17°C for London on September 19, driven by persistent mild southwesterly flow and extensive low cloud that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Overnight readings are expected to bottom out near 16°C under overcast skies with dew points around 14°C, while any clearer spells could briefly allow a dip toward 15°C or hold near 17°C. These conditions align with the current market-implied odds favoring 17°C (54%) and 16°C (31.5%), reflecting trader consensus on limited temperature variance given stable model runs and the absence of stronger high pressure or northerly advection. Updated forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final calibration before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,286วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature of 16–17°C for London on September 19, driven by persistent mild southwesterly flow and extensive low cloud that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Overnight readings are expected to bottom out near 16°C under overcast skies with dew points around 14°C, while any clearer spells could briefly allow a dip toward 15°C or hold near 17°C. These conditions align with the current market-implied odds favoring 17°C (54%) and 16°C (31.5%), reflecting trader consensus on limited temperature variance given stable model runs and the absence of stronger high pressure or northerly advection. Updated forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final calibration before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,286วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature of 16–17°C for London on September 19, driven by persistent mild southwesterly flow and extensive low cloud that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Overnight readings are expected to bottom out near 16°C under overcast skies with dew points around 14°C, while any clearer spells could briefly allow a dip toward 15°C or hold near 17°C. These conditions align with the current market-implied odds favoring 17°C (54%) and 16°C (31.5%), reflecting trader consensus on limited temperature variance given stable model runs and the absence of stronger high pressure or northerly advection. Updated forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final calibration before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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