Recent Met Office and ECMWF guidance shows high pressure building over the UK, with light northwesterly winds and mostly clear skies expected overnight into September 20, promoting radiative cooling and minimum temperatures near 14–16 °C in central London. Ensemble spreads remain modest but sensitive to exact wind speeds and any residual cloud, which could shift the low by 1–2 °C. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 14 °C (38 %) and 15 °C (31 %), reflecting traders weighting official model consensus against the inherent uncertainty in boundary-layer forecasts just 48 hours ahead. Updated runs from the UK Met Office and ECMWF will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on September 20?
Lowest temperature in London on September 20?
12°C 39%
14°C 33%
15°C 31%
19°C or higher 28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
9°C or below
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
6%
12°C
39%
13°C
18%
14°C
38%
15°C
31%
16°C
21%
17°C
8%
18°C
5%
19°C or higher
28%
12°C 39%
14°C 33%
15°C 31%
19°C or higher 28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
9°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
13°C
$262 ปริมาณ
18%
14°C
$425 ปริมาณ
38%
15°C
$293 ปริมาณ
31%
16°C
$166 ปริมาณ
21%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
19°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF guidance shows high pressure building over the UK, with light northwesterly winds and mostly clear skies expected overnight into September 20, promoting radiative cooling and minimum temperatures near 14–16 °C in central London. Ensemble spreads remain modest but sensitive to exact wind speeds and any residual cloud, which could shift the low by 1–2 °C. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 14 °C (38 %) and 15 °C (31 %), reflecting traders weighting official model consensus against the inherent uncertainty in boundary-layer forecasts just 48 hours ahead. Updated runs from the UK Met Office and ECMWF will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,146วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF guidance shows high pressure building over the UK, with light northwesterly winds and mostly clear skies expected overnight into September 20, promoting radiative cooling and minimum temperatures near 14–16 °C in central London. Ensemble spreads remain modest but sensitive to exact wind speeds and any residual cloud, which could shift the low by 1–2 °C. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 14 °C (38 %) and 15 °C (31 %), reflecting traders weighting official model consensus against the inherent uncertainty in boundary-layer forecasts just 48 hours ahead. Updated runs from the UK Met Office and ECMWF will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,146วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF guidance shows high pressure building over the UK, with light northwesterly winds and mostly clear skies expected overnight into September 20, promoting radiative cooling and minimum temperatures near 14–16 °C in central London. Ensemble spreads remain modest but sensitive to exact wind speeds and any residual cloud, which could shift the low by 1–2 °C. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 14 °C (38 %) and 15 °C (31 %), reflecting traders weighting official model consensus against the inherent uncertainty in boundary-layer forecasts just 48 hours ahead. Updated runs from the UK Met Office and ECMWF will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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