Current forecast models, including data aligned with Met Office guidance, point to overnight minimum temperatures in London on September 18 near 11–12°C under westerly flow, moderate humidity around 80–90%, and variable cloud cover that limits extreme radiative cooling. These conditions support the market's close split between 11°C (45.5%) and 12°C (41.5%) implied probabilities, as lighter winds or clearer intervals could allow dips toward 11°C while increased cloud or mixing favors 12°C. Historical September norms for London minima hover near 10–12°C, providing context for the mild outcome. Traders appear to weigh model consensus against inherent short-range forecast uncertainty, with fresh runs from agencies like the Met Office expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on September 18?
Lowest temperature in London on September 18?
11°C 48%
12°C 41%
16°C or higher 24%
13°C 21%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 18, 2026
6°C or below
19%
7°C
19%
8°C
20%
9°C
19%
10°C
19%
11°C
48%
12°C
41%
13°C
21%
14°C
8%
15°C
5%
16°C or higher
24%
11°C 48%
12°C 41%
16°C or higher 24%
13°C 21%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 18, 2026
6°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
7°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
8°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
11°C
$116 ปริมาณ
48%
12°C
$29 ปริมาณ
41%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
16°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including data aligned with Met Office guidance, point to overnight minimum temperatures in London on September 18 near 11–12°C under westerly flow, moderate humidity around 80–90%, and variable cloud cover that limits extreme radiative cooling. These conditions support the market's close split between 11°C (45.5%) and 12°C (41.5%) implied probabilities, as lighter winds or clearer intervals could allow dips toward 11°C while increased cloud or mixing favors 12°C. Historical September norms for London minima hover near 10–12°C, providing context for the mild outcome. Traders appear to weigh model consensus against inherent short-range forecast uncertainty, with fresh runs from agencies like the Met Office expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$145วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including data aligned with Met Office guidance, point to overnight minimum temperatures in London on September 18 near 11–12°C under westerly flow, moderate humidity around 80–90%, and variable cloud cover that limits extreme radiative cooling. These conditions support the market's close split between 11°C (45.5%) and 12°C (41.5%) implied probabilities, as lighter winds or clearer intervals could allow dips toward 11°C while increased cloud or mixing favors 12°C. Historical September norms for London minima hover near 10–12°C, providing context for the mild outcome. Traders appear to weigh model consensus against inherent short-range forecast uncertainty, with fresh runs from agencies like the Met Office expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$145วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models, including data aligned with Met Office guidance, point to overnight minimum temperatures in London on September 18 near 11–12°C under westerly flow, moderate humidity around 80–90%, and variable cloud cover that limits extreme radiative cooling. These conditions support the market's close split between 11°C (45.5%) and 12°C (41.5%) implied probabilities, as lighter winds or clearer intervals could allow dips toward 11°C while increased cloud or mixing favors 12°C. Historical September norms for London minima hover near 10–12°C, providing context for the mild outcome. Traders appear to weigh model consensus against inherent short-range forecast uncertainty, with fresh runs from agencies like the Met Office expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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