Divergent numerical weather prediction outputs for maximum temperature in Ankara on September 16 create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–25°C. Ensemble guidance and operational models show a high near the September climatological average of roughly 24°C, with afternoon cloud build-up and isolated showers or thunderstorms expected to limit surface heating. Regional moisture advection and weak instability favor convective development after midday, potentially capping readings below clearer-sky scenarios that reach 26–27°C. Official monitoring from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will resolve the outcome based on the daily maximum at the primary Ankara station, where small differences in timing of precipitation or insolation can shift the peak by 1–2°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on September 16?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 16?
24°C 33%
25°C 27%
23°C 18%
22°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
18%
24°C
33%
25°C
27%
26°C
6%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 33%
25°C 27%
23°C 18%
22°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
19°C or below
$345 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$268 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$166 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C
$383 ปริมาณ
8%
23°C
$359 ปริมาณ
18%
24°C
$1,054 ปริมาณ
33%
25°C
$987 ปริมาณ
27%
26°C
$1,132 ปริมาณ
6%
27°C
$632 ปริมาณ
4%
28°C
$116 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C or higher
$176 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Divergent numerical weather prediction outputs for maximum temperature in Ankara on September 16 create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–25°C. Ensemble guidance and operational models show a high near the September climatological average of roughly 24°C, with afternoon cloud build-up and isolated showers or thunderstorms expected to limit surface heating. Regional moisture advection and weak instability favor convective development after midday, potentially capping readings below clearer-sky scenarios that reach 26–27°C. Official monitoring from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will resolve the outcome based on the daily maximum at the primary Ankara station, where small differences in timing of precipitation or insolation can shift the peak by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,618วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Divergent numerical weather prediction outputs for maximum temperature in Ankara on September 16 create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–25°C. Ensemble guidance and operational models show a high near the September climatological average of roughly 24°C, with afternoon cloud build-up and isolated showers or thunderstorms expected to limit surface heating. Regional moisture advection and weak instability favor convective development after midday, potentially capping readings below clearer-sky scenarios that reach 26–27°C. Official monitoring from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will resolve the outcome based on the daily maximum at the primary Ankara station, where small differences in timing of precipitation or insolation can shift the peak by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,618วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Divergent numerical weather prediction outputs for maximum temperature in Ankara on September 16 create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–25°C. Ensemble guidance and operational models show a high near the September climatological average of roughly 24°C, with afternoon cloud build-up and isolated showers or thunderstorms expected to limit surface heating. Regional moisture advection and weak instability favor convective development after midday, potentially capping readings below clearer-sky scenarios that reach 26–27°C. Official monitoring from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will resolve the outcome based on the daily maximum at the primary Ankara station, where small differences in timing of precipitation or insolation can shift the peak by 1–2°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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