Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office, GFS-based models, and Heathrow observations indicate a minimum temperature of 13–14°C for London on September 16, driven by moderate westerly winds, partly cloudy skies overnight, and typical radiative cooling under autumn transitional conditions. Model consensus shows early-morning lows near 12–13°C before daytime warming to 18–19°C, with no strong fronts or high-pressure blocking to push readings lower or higher. Trader positioning at 61% for 13°C and 27% for 14°C reflects this narrow range of model outputs and historical September baselines, where similar setups rarely deviate beyond 1–2°C without sudden changes in cloud cover or wind. New model runs and official updates expected overnight will refine the final observed low before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on September 16?
13°C 62%
14°C 34%
12°C 7%
9°C <1%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
7%
13°C
62%
14°C
34%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 62%
14°C 34%
12°C 7%
9°C <1%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
7%
13°C
62%
14°C
34%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office, GFS-based models, and Heathrow observations indicate a minimum temperature of 13–14°C for London on September 16, driven by moderate westerly winds, partly cloudy skies overnight, and typical radiative cooling under autumn transitional conditions. Model consensus shows early-morning lows near 12–13°C before daytime warming to 18–19°C, with no strong fronts or high-pressure blocking to push readings lower or higher. Trader positioning at 61% for 13°C and 27% for 14°C reflects this narrow range of model outputs and historical September baselines, where similar setups rarely deviate beyond 1–2°C without sudden changes in cloud cover or wind. New model runs and official updates expected overnight will refine the final observed low before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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