Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Dallas on September 21 point to a high near 96–97°F amid continued southerly flow of warm, humid Gulf air, with heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F. Afternoon instability introduces a 20–40% chance of scattered thunderstorms, which could cap temperatures if convection develops earlier or spread cloud cover that limits insolation. This uncertainty between upper-90s realization and modest cooling from storms or a weak frontal passage explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 94–97°F bins. Historical September averages near 88°F and the month's ongoing heat anomaly further anchor trader focus on whether the pattern holds or shifts. Updated NWS guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Dallas on September 21?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 21?
96-97°F 33%
94-95°F 30%
92-93°F 23%
90-91°F 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 21, 2026
85°F or below
4%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
23%
94-95°F
30%
96-97°F
33%
98-99°F
7%
100-101°F
9%
102-103°F
2%
104°F or higher
2%
96-97°F 33%
94-95°F 30%
92-93°F 23%
90-91°F 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 21, 2026
85°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
86-87°F
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
88-89°F
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
90-91°F
$96 ปริมาณ
14%
92-93°F
$93 ปริมาณ
23%
94-95°F
$379 ปริมาณ
30%
96-97°F
$658 ปริมาณ
33%
98-99°F
$76 ปริมาณ
7%
100-101°F
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
102-103°F
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
104°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Dallas on September 21 point to a high near 96–97°F amid continued southerly flow of warm, humid Gulf air, with heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F. Afternoon instability introduces a 20–40% chance of scattered thunderstorms, which could cap temperatures if convection develops earlier or spread cloud cover that limits insolation. This uncertainty between upper-90s realization and modest cooling from storms or a weak frontal passage explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 94–97°F bins. Historical September averages near 88°F and the month's ongoing heat anomaly further anchor trader focus on whether the pattern holds or shifts. Updated NWS guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,302วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 2:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Dallas on September 21 point to a high near 96–97°F amid continued southerly flow of warm, humid Gulf air, with heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F. Afternoon instability introduces a 20–40% chance of scattered thunderstorms, which could cap temperatures if convection develops earlier or spread cloud cover that limits insolation. This uncertainty between upper-90s realization and modest cooling from storms or a weak frontal passage explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 94–97°F bins. Historical September averages near 88°F and the month's ongoing heat anomaly further anchor trader focus on whether the pattern holds or shifts. Updated NWS guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,302วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 2:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Dallas on September 21 point to a high near 96–97°F amid continued southerly flow of warm, humid Gulf air, with heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F. Afternoon instability introduces a 20–40% chance of scattered thunderstorms, which could cap temperatures if convection develops earlier or spread cloud cover that limits insolation. This uncertainty between upper-90s realization and modest cooling from storms or a weak frontal passage explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 94–97°F bins. Historical September averages near 88°F and the month's ongoing heat anomaly further anchor trader focus on whether the pattern holds or shifts. Updated NWS guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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