Hong Kong's official minimum temperature on September 21 registered 27°C according to Hong Kong Observatory measurements, driving the overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for that outcome. September climatology in the region features typical overnight lows near 26–28°C under subtropical high pressure and light winds, with no significant cold front, typhoon passage, or cloud cover to depress readings further. Model consensus and real-time station data aligned closely with this value, leaving little room for revision. Only an undetected sensor error or post hoc data adjustment could shift resolution, scenarios traders assign negligible probability given the agency's established verification protocols.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 21?
27°C 100%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$14,732 ปริมาณ
$14,732 ปริมาณ
Sep 21, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$14,732 ปริมาณ
$14,732 ปริมาณ
Sep 21, 2026
22°C or below
$77 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$531 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$261 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$594 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$1,786 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$4,737 ปริมาณ
Yes
28°C
$4,452 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$82 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$1,104 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$1,104 ปริมาณ
No
32°C or higher
$4 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's official minimum temperature on September 21 registered 27°C according to Hong Kong Observatory measurements, driving the overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for that outcome. September climatology in the region features typical overnight lows near 26–28°C under subtropical high pressure and light winds, with no significant cold front, typhoon passage, or cloud cover to depress readings further. Model consensus and real-time station data aligned closely with this value, leaving little room for revision. Only an undetected sensor error or post hoc data adjustment could shift resolution, scenarios traders assign negligible probability given the agency's established verification protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,732วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's official minimum temperature on September 21 registered 27°C according to Hong Kong Observatory measurements, driving the overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for that outcome. September climatology in the region features typical overnight lows near 26–28°C under subtropical high pressure and light winds, with no significant cold front, typhoon passage, or cloud cover to depress readings further. Model consensus and real-time station data aligned closely with this value, leaving little room for revision. Only an undetected sensor error or post hoc data adjustment could shift resolution, scenarios traders assign negligible probability given the agency's established verification protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,732วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Hong Kong's official minimum temperature on September 21 registered 27°C according to Hong Kong Observatory measurements, driving the overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for that outcome. September climatology in the region features typical overnight lows near 26–28°C under subtropical high pressure and light winds, with no significant cold front, typhoon passage, or cloud cover to depress readings further. Model consensus and real-time station data aligned closely with this value, leaving little room for revision. Only an undetected sensor error or post hoc data adjustment could shift resolution, scenarios traders assign negligible probability given the agency's established verification protocols.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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