Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 24 point to mainly fine, dry conditions under a northeast monsoon, with a temperature range of 27–32°C that centers trader attention on the 30–32°C outcomes. Ensemble and multi-model guidance shows daytime peaks near 30–31°C amid light easterly winds and moderate humidity, while slight variations in cloud cover or urban heat island effects could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C. A developing tropical cyclone east of the Philippines remains too distant and uncertain in track to alter local steering patterns before the 24th, preserving the narrow spread in implied probabilities. Fresh HKO updates and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 24?
34°C 27%
32°C 24%
31°C 23%
30°C 22%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
9%
30°C
22%
31°C
23%
32°C
24%
33°C
20%
34°C
27%
35°C or higher
<1%
34°C 27%
32°C 24%
31°C 23%
30°C 22%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
9%
30°C
22%
31°C
23%
32°C
24%
33°C
20%
34°C
27%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 24 point to mainly fine, dry conditions under a northeast monsoon, with a temperature range of 27–32°C that centers trader attention on the 30–32°C outcomes. Ensemble and multi-model guidance shows daytime peaks near 30–31°C amid light easterly winds and moderate humidity, while slight variations in cloud cover or urban heat island effects could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C. A developing tropical cyclone east of the Philippines remains too distant and uncertain in track to alter local steering patterns before the 24th, preserving the narrow spread in implied probabilities. Fresh HKO updates and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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