Recent rainfall patterns across Chongqing, including widespread small to moderate precipitation and localized heavy downpours through September 22–23, have introduced substantial uncertainty into temperature forecasts for the 24th. Persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling from saturated soils are suppressing daytime maxima, while model runs diverge on the timing of any clearing that could allow stronger solar heating. Historical September averages near 28–29 °C provide context, yet current conditions favor outcomes clustered around the mid-20s °C, with the near-even market-implied odds between 31 °C or higher and 21 °C or below reflecting genuine variability in steering patterns and moisture transport over the next 48 hours. Updated numerical guidance and official Chongqing Meteorological Observatory briefings will be key catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 24?
21°C or below 70%
31°C or higher 50%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
21°C or below
70%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
22%
25°C
22%
26°C
24%
27°C
22%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C or higher
50%
21°C or below 70%
31°C or higher 50%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
21°C or below
70%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
22%
25°C
22%
26°C
24%
27°C
22%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C or higher
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent rainfall patterns across Chongqing, including widespread small to moderate precipitation and localized heavy downpours through September 22–23, have introduced substantial uncertainty into temperature forecasts for the 24th. Persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling from saturated soils are suppressing daytime maxima, while model runs diverge on the timing of any clearing that could allow stronger solar heating. Historical September averages near 28–29 °C provide context, yet current conditions favor outcomes clustered around the mid-20s °C, with the near-even market-implied odds between 31 °C or higher and 21 °C or below reflecting genuine variability in steering patterns and moisture transport over the next 48 hours. Updated numerical guidance and official Chongqing Meteorological Observatory briefings will be key catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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