Strengthening El Niño conditions, with Niño 3.4 anomalies reaching +2.5–3.0°C in mid-September 2026, are elevating baseline temperatures across Malaysia above seasonal norms, supporting trader focus on 31–33°C outcomes for Kuala Lumpur on September 24. Official forecasts from regional models show afternoon highs near 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, where timing of convection and cloud cover can suppress or allow brief peaks near 33°C. Historical September maxima average 32–33°C, but the current strong El Niño and urban heat island effects in the city increase the chance of modest exceedances while frequent showers introduce downward variability. Upcoming model runs and Malaysian Meteorological Department updates will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 24?
33°C 36%
32°C 22%
34°C 21%
31°C 19%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
16%
31°C
19%
32°C
22%
33°C
36%
34°C
21%
35°C
19%
36°C
17%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 36%
32°C 22%
34°C 21%
31°C 19%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
16%
31°C
19%
32°C
22%
33°C
36%
34°C
21%
35°C
19%
36°C
17%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Strengthening El Niño conditions, with Niño 3.4 anomalies reaching +2.5–3.0°C in mid-September 2026, are elevating baseline temperatures across Malaysia above seasonal norms, supporting trader focus on 31–33°C outcomes for Kuala Lumpur on September 24. Official forecasts from regional models show afternoon highs near 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, where timing of convection and cloud cover can suppress or allow brief peaks near 33°C. Historical September maxima average 32–33°C, but the current strong El Niño and urban heat island effects in the city increase the chance of modest exceedances while frequent showers introduce downward variability. Upcoming model runs and Malaysian Meteorological Department updates will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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