Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate stable easterly flow under a moderating northeast monsoon, with mainly fine to partly cloudy conditions and minimal precipitation expected through September 25. Overnight radiative cooling under light winds and high pressure should produce minimum temperatures near 26–27°C, aligning with the market’s strong 58.5% weighting on 27°C and secondary support for 26°C or 28°C. Model consensus shows little day-to-day variability in the diurnal range, with dew points around 22–24°C limiting further cooling. No tropical systems or frontal passages are projected to alter the pattern before resolution, keeping implied probabilities centered on typical late-September climatology for the region.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 25?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 25?
27°C 59%
26°C 22%
28°C 19%
23°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 25, 2026
21°C or below
4%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
22%
27°C
59%
28°C
19%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 59%
26°C 22%
28°C 19%
23°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 25, 2026
21°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
24°C
$53 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$103 ปริมาณ
5%
26°C
$1,305 ปริมาณ
22%
27°C
$409 ปริมาณ
59%
28°C
$922 ปริมาณ
19%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$1,126 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C or higher
$15 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate stable easterly flow under a moderating northeast monsoon, with mainly fine to partly cloudy conditions and minimal precipitation expected through September 25. Overnight radiative cooling under light winds and high pressure should produce minimum temperatures near 26–27°C, aligning with the market’s strong 58.5% weighting on 27°C and secondary support for 26°C or 28°C. Model consensus shows little day-to-day variability in the diurnal range, with dew points around 22–24°C limiting further cooling. No tropical systems or frontal passages are projected to alter the pattern before resolution, keeping implied probabilities centered on typical late-September climatology for the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,932วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate stable easterly flow under a moderating northeast monsoon, with mainly fine to partly cloudy conditions and minimal precipitation expected through September 25. Overnight radiative cooling under light winds and high pressure should produce minimum temperatures near 26–27°C, aligning with the market’s strong 58.5% weighting on 27°C and secondary support for 26°C or 28°C. Model consensus shows little day-to-day variability in the diurnal range, with dew points around 22–24°C limiting further cooling. No tropical systems or frontal passages are projected to alter the pattern before resolution, keeping implied probabilities centered on typical late-September climatology for the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,932วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate stable easterly flow under a moderating northeast monsoon, with mainly fine to partly cloudy conditions and minimal precipitation expected through September 25. Overnight radiative cooling under light winds and high pressure should produce minimum temperatures near 26–27°C, aligning with the market’s strong 58.5% weighting on 27°C and secondary support for 26°C or 28°C. Model consensus shows little day-to-day variability in the diurnal range, with dew points around 22–24°C limiting further cooling. No tropical systems or frontal passages are projected to alter the pattern before resolution, keeping implied probabilities centered on typical late-September climatology for the region.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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