Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily minimum of 27°C on September 23, 2026, aligning with the market's near-certain 99.9% implied probability for that outcome. Late-summer subtropical conditions, including persistent southerly flow and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, produced this value consistent with climatological September averages near 25–28°C. Model runs and station data showed minimal variance across urban and airport sites, leaving little room for downward revisions. Only an unforeseen data correction or alternate station threshold could realistically shift the result, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary reports are released.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 23?
27°C 99.7%
25°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$22,197 ปริมาณ
$22,197 ปริมาณ
Sep 23, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.7%
25°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$22,197 ปริมาณ
$22,197 ปริมาณ
Sep 23, 2026
22°C or below
$295 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$191 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$141 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$795 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$1,332 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$6,431 ปริมาณ
100%
28°C
$8,585 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$1,535 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$1,506 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$1,143 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$244 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily minimum of 27°C on September 23, 2026, aligning with the market's near-certain 99.9% implied probability for that outcome. Late-summer subtropical conditions, including persistent southerly flow and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, produced this value consistent with climatological September averages near 25–28°C. Model runs and station data showed minimal variance across urban and airport sites, leaving little room for downward revisions. Only an unforeseen data correction or alternate station threshold could realistically shift the result, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary reports are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,197วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily minimum of 27°C on September 23, 2026, aligning with the market's near-certain 99.9% implied probability for that outcome. Late-summer subtropical conditions, including persistent southerly flow and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, produced this value consistent with climatological September averages near 25–28°C. Model runs and station data showed minimal variance across urban and airport sites, leaving little room for downward revisions. Only an unforeseen data correction or alternate station threshold could realistically shift the result, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary reports are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,197วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily minimum of 27°C on September 23, 2026, aligning with the market's near-certain 99.9% implied probability for that outcome. Late-summer subtropical conditions, including persistent southerly flow and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, produced this value consistent with climatological September averages near 25–28°C. Model runs and station data showed minimal variance across urban and airport sites, leaving little room for downward revisions. Only an unforeseen data correction or alternate station threshold could realistically shift the result, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary reports are released.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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