Recent ensemble forecasts from European models indicate a likely high of 32–34°C in Madrid on September 26, driven by continued subsidence under a stable high-pressure ridge and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that favor strong daytime insolation. Light southerly winds and low humidity will limit mixing and evaporative cooling, keeping the thermal profile above the late-September climatological average of ~24°C. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds across the 31–38°C range. Traders are weighting the latest AEMET and ECMWF runs ahead of the final 48-hour updates that typically refine the peak by 1–2°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on September 26?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 26?
34°C 58%
33°C 30%
35°C 17%
32°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 26, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
15%
33°C
30%
34°C
58%
35°C
17%
36°C
1%
37°C
5%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 58%
33°C 30%
35°C 17%
32°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 26, 2026
29°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
32°C
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
34°C
$132 ปริมาณ
58%
35°C
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
36°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
38°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
39°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models indicate a likely high of 32–34°C in Madrid on September 26, driven by continued subsidence under a stable high-pressure ridge and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that favor strong daytime insolation. Light southerly winds and low humidity will limit mixing and evaporative cooling, keeping the thermal profile above the late-September climatological average of ~24°C. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds across the 31–38°C range. Traders are weighting the latest AEMET and ECMWF runs ahead of the final 48-hour updates that typically refine the peak by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$147วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models indicate a likely high of 32–34°C in Madrid on September 26, driven by continued subsidence under a stable high-pressure ridge and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that favor strong daytime insolation. Light southerly winds and low humidity will limit mixing and evaporative cooling, keeping the thermal profile above the late-September climatological average of ~24°C. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds across the 31–38°C range. Traders are weighting the latest AEMET and ECMWF runs ahead of the final 48-hour updates that typically refine the peak by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$147วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...Recent ensemble forecasts from European models indicate a likely high of 32–34°C in Madrid on September 26, driven by continued subsidence under a stable high-pressure ridge and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that favor strong daytime insolation. Light southerly winds and low humidity will limit mixing and evaporative cooling, keeping the thermal profile above the late-September climatological average of ~24°C. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds across the 31–38°C range. Traders are weighting the latest AEMET and ECMWF runs ahead of the final 48-hour updates that typically refine the peak by 1–2°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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