Recent forecast consensus from European models points to a minimum temperature in Milan on September 23 around 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, yet market-implied odds remain evenly split between 11°C or below and 21°C or higher. This balance reflects genuine uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling versus potential warm-air advection from the Mediterranean, modulated by the strength of the subtropical ridge and any weak frontal boundary crossing the Po Valley. Clearer skies overnight could enhance cooling below typical September baselines of 14–16°C, while stronger winds or increased cloud cover would limit the drop. Traders are watching the next ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service runs for refinements in boundary-layer moisture and wind shear ahead of the close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Milan on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 23?
11°C or below 100%
21°C or higher 100%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 23, 2026
11°C or below
100%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
23%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C or higher
100%
11°C or below 100%
21°C or higher 100%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 23, 2026
11°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
100%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
21°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from European models points to a minimum temperature in Milan on September 23 around 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, yet market-implied odds remain evenly split between 11°C or below and 21°C or higher. This balance reflects genuine uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling versus potential warm-air advection from the Mediterranean, modulated by the strength of the subtropical ridge and any weak frontal boundary crossing the Po Valley. Clearer skies overnight could enhance cooling below typical September baselines of 14–16°C, while stronger winds or increased cloud cover would limit the drop. Traders are watching the next ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service runs for refinements in boundary-layer moisture and wind shear ahead of the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from European models points to a minimum temperature in Milan on September 23 around 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, yet market-implied odds remain evenly split between 11°C or below and 21°C or higher. This balance reflects genuine uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling versus potential warm-air advection from the Mediterranean, modulated by the strength of the subtropical ridge and any weak frontal boundary crossing the Po Valley. Clearer skies overnight could enhance cooling below typical September baselines of 14–16°C, while stronger winds or increased cloud cover would limit the drop. Traders are watching the next ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service runs for refinements in boundary-layer moisture and wind shear ahead of the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from European models points to a minimum temperature in Milan on September 23 around 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, yet market-implied odds remain evenly split between 11°C or below and 21°C or higher. This balance reflects genuine uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling versus potential warm-air advection from the Mediterranean, modulated by the strength of the subtropical ridge and any weak frontal boundary crossing the Po Valley. Clearer skies overnight could enhance cooling below typical September baselines of 14–16°C, while stronger winds or increased cloud cover would limit the drop. Traders are watching the next ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service runs for refinements in boundary-layer moisture and wind shear ahead of the close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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