Recent short-term forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's September 24 minimum temperature will likely settle near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and moderate humidity, keeping overnight cooling limited. Trader sentiment remains closely split between sub-18°C and 28°C+ outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle changes in steering flow could alter radiative cooling rates by several degrees. Historical late-September climatology shows typical daily lows around 20–22°C, but current conditions feature weaker diurnal temperature ranges due to persistent cloudiness, reducing the chance of sharp drops while also capping daytime peaks. Updated model runs and official briefings from Chinese meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the key variables of cloud thickness and wind direction that differentiate the market's tightly contested ranges.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 24?
18°C or below 47%
28°C or higher 46%
25°C 38%
27°C 38%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 24, 2026
18°C or below
47%
19°C
35%
20°C
35%
21°C
20%
22°C
21%
23°C
25%
24°C
23%
25°C
38%
26°C
37%
27°C
38%
28°C or higher
46%
18°C or below 47%
28°C or higher 46%
25°C 38%
27°C 38%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 24, 2026
18°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
35%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
35%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
37%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
28°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's September 24 minimum temperature will likely settle near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and moderate humidity, keeping overnight cooling limited. Trader sentiment remains closely split between sub-18°C and 28°C+ outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle changes in steering flow could alter radiative cooling rates by several degrees. Historical late-September climatology shows typical daily lows around 20–22°C, but current conditions feature weaker diurnal temperature ranges due to persistent cloudiness, reducing the chance of sharp drops while also capping daytime peaks. Updated model runs and official briefings from Chinese meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the key variables of cloud thickness and wind direction that differentiate the market's tightly contested ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's September 24 minimum temperature will likely settle near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and moderate humidity, keeping overnight cooling limited. Trader sentiment remains closely split between sub-18°C and 28°C+ outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle changes in steering flow could alter radiative cooling rates by several degrees. Historical late-September climatology shows typical daily lows around 20–22°C, but current conditions feature weaker diurnal temperature ranges due to persistent cloudiness, reducing the chance of sharp drops while also capping daytime peaks. Updated model runs and official briefings from Chinese meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the key variables of cloud thickness and wind direction that differentiate the market's tightly contested ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's September 24 minimum temperature will likely settle near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and moderate humidity, keeping overnight cooling limited. Trader sentiment remains closely split between sub-18°C and 28°C+ outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle changes in steering flow could alter radiative cooling rates by several degrees. Historical late-September climatology shows typical daily lows around 20–22°C, but current conditions feature weaker diurnal temperature ranges due to persistent cloudiness, reducing the chance of sharp drops while also capping daytime peaks. Updated model runs and official briefings from Chinese meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the key variables of cloud thickness and wind direction that differentiate the market's tightly contested ranges.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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