**Current forecasts for Seoul/Incheon on September 24, 2026, point to a lowest temperature near 19–21°C, with daytime highs of 25–29°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly winds.** Multiple models (including GFS-based and agency outlooks) converge on overnight lows in this moderate range, consistent with late-September climatology where average minima hover around 17–18°C. Key drivers include a stable high-pressure ridge maintaining northeasterly flow, which suppresses strong cooling or heating. No major cold fronts or heat domes are expected in the short term, though minor model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Precipitation chances remain low (<10%), limiting evaporative cooling effects. The even 50/50 market split between 15°C or below and 25°C or higher reflects trader emphasis on tail risks—such as an unexpected surge in northerly flow or clearer skies allowing greater radiational cooling—despite the consensus central tendency around 20°C. Upcoming high-resolution model runs and official Korea Meteorological Administration updates over the next 48 hours will likely narrow this uncertainty ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 24?
16°C 37%
17°C 37%
23°C 37%
24°C 37%
15°C or below
2%
16°C
37%
17°C
37%
18°C
20%
19°C
27%
20°C
26%
21°C
19%
22°C
17%
23°C
37%
24°C
37%
25°C or higher
2%
16°C 37%
17°C 37%
23°C 37%
24°C 37%
15°C or below
2%
16°C
37%
17°C
37%
18°C
20%
19°C
27%
20°C
26%
21°C
19%
22°C
17%
23°C
37%
24°C
37%
25°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Seoul/Incheon on September 24, 2026, point to a lowest temperature near 19–21°C, with daytime highs of 25–29°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly winds.** Multiple models (including GFS-based and agency outlooks) converge on overnight lows in this moderate range, consistent with late-September climatology where average minima hover around 17–18°C. Key drivers include a stable high-pressure ridge maintaining northeasterly flow, which suppresses strong cooling or heating. No major cold fronts or heat domes are expected in the short term, though minor model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Precipitation chances remain low (<10%), limiting evaporative cooling effects. The even 50/50 market split between 15°C or below and 25°C or higher reflects trader emphasis on tail risks—such as an unexpected surge in northerly flow or clearer skies allowing greater radiational cooling—despite the consensus central tendency around 20°C. Upcoming high-resolution model runs and official Korea Meteorological Administration updates over the next 48 hours will likely narrow this uncertainty ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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