Recent forecasts for Lucknow indicate a 60-70% chance of thunderstorms and cloud cover on September 24, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling and supports minimum temperatures near 24-26°C. The southwest monsoon remains active in the region with variable moisture from the Bay of Bengal, producing inconsistent rainfall that elevates humidity and soil moisture, both of which suppress sharp nighttime drops. Clear-sky periods would allow greater longwave radiation loss and cooler minima, while persistent clouds or showers favor warmer readings. Current model consensus and recent observations (minimums of 24-28°C) create balanced market-implied odds between sub-22°C and 31°C+ outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-term steering patterns and convective activity ahead of the forecast update.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 24?
31°C or higher 99%
21°C or below 98%
22°C 39%
26°C 39%
21°C or below
98%
22°C
39%
23°C
20%
24°C
21%
25°C
21%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C or higher
99%
31°C or higher 99%
21°C or below 98%
22°C 39%
26°C 39%
21°C or below
98%
22°C
39%
23°C
20%
24°C
21%
25°C
21%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C or higher
99%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Lucknow indicate a 60-70% chance of thunderstorms and cloud cover on September 24, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling and supports minimum temperatures near 24-26°C. The southwest monsoon remains active in the region with variable moisture from the Bay of Bengal, producing inconsistent rainfall that elevates humidity and soil moisture, both of which suppress sharp nighttime drops. Clear-sky periods would allow greater longwave radiation loss and cooler minima, while persistent clouds or showers favor warmer readings. Current model consensus and recent observations (minimums of 24-28°C) create balanced market-implied odds between sub-22°C and 31°C+ outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-term steering patterns and convective activity ahead of the forecast update.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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