Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate persistent ridging over Texas will sustain unseasonably warm conditions into September 24, with Austin highs forecast near 95–97°F under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. This above-average pattern, roughly 6–8°F warmer than the 1991–2020 climatological mean of 89°F, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 94–99°F bins. Ensemble spread in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and subtle steering differences creates the modest uncertainty separating the leading outcomes, while limited precipitation chances reduce cooling potential. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on September 24?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 24?
96-97°F 30%
94-95°F 23%
98-99°F 23%
92-93°F 17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 24, 2026
89°F or below
7%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
17%
94-95°F
23%
96-97°F
30%
98-99°F
23%
100-101°F
9%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
16%
106-107°F
10%
108°F or higher
7%
96-97°F 30%
94-95°F 23%
98-99°F 23%
92-93°F 17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 24, 2026
89°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
90-91°F
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
92-93°F
$5 ปริมาณ
17%
94-95°F
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
96-97°F
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
98-99°F
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
100-101°F
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
102-103°F
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
104-105°F
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
106-107°F
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
108°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate persistent ridging over Texas will sustain unseasonably warm conditions into September 24, with Austin highs forecast near 95–97°F under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. This above-average pattern, roughly 6–8°F warmer than the 1991–2020 climatological mean of 89°F, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 94–99°F bins. Ensemble spread in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and subtle steering differences creates the modest uncertainty separating the leading outcomes, while limited precipitation chances reduce cooling potential. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate persistent ridging over Texas will sustain unseasonably warm conditions into September 24, with Austin highs forecast near 95–97°F under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. This above-average pattern, roughly 6–8°F warmer than the 1991–2020 climatological mean of 89°F, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 94–99°F bins. Ensemble spread in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and subtle steering differences creates the modest uncertainty separating the leading outcomes, while limited precipitation chances reduce cooling potential. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate persistent ridging over Texas will sustain unseasonably warm conditions into September 24, with Austin highs forecast near 95–97°F under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. This above-average pattern, roughly 6–8°F warmer than the 1991–2020 climatological mean of 89°F, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 94–99°F bins. Ensemble spread in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and subtle steering differences creates the modest uncertainty separating the leading outcomes, while limited precipitation chances reduce cooling potential. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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