Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts indicate a daily minimum near 72–75°F for Dallas on September 24, driven by a ridge of high pressure maintaining easterly flow, dew points in the low 60s, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup favors above-normal overnight lows relative to the 1991–2020 September average of 67°F, with minimal precipitation or frontal influence expected through the period. Model consensus remains tight on the mid-70s range, though small shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture could alter the outcome by 3–5°F. Trader positioning near 49–50% on the extreme tails reflects awareness of forecast uncertainty this far out, while the 19–20% probabilities clustered around 66–83°F align with the narrower envelope of current guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Dallas on September 24?
65°F or below 99%
84°F or higher 98%
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 40%
65°F or below
99%
66-67°F
38%
68-69°F
38%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
38%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
38%
84°F or higher
98%
65°F or below 99%
84°F or higher 98%
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 40%
65°F or below
99%
66-67°F
38%
68-69°F
38%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
38%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
38%
84°F or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 22, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts indicate a daily minimum near 72–75°F for Dallas on September 24, driven by a ridge of high pressure maintaining easterly flow, dew points in the low 60s, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup favors above-normal overnight lows relative to the 1991–2020 September average of 67°F, with minimal precipitation or frontal influence expected through the period. Model consensus remains tight on the mid-70s range, though small shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture could alter the outcome by 3–5°F. Trader positioning near 49–50% on the extreme tails reflects awareness of forecast uncertainty this far out, while the 19–20% probabilities clustered around 66–83°F align with the narrower envelope of current guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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