**A recent cold front advancing from southern Brazil has driven the sharp temperature drop expected in São Paulo on September 23, 2026, positioning 13–14°C as the leading market-implied outcomes for the daily minimum.** Official and model guidance from sources including Climatempo, INMET alerts, Met Office, and GFS runs consistently forecast overnight lows near 13°C under persistent southerly flow, cloud cover, and light rain or drizzle, with daytime highs limited to 15–17°C. This reflects the influx of cooler, drier polar-influenced air displacing the prior warm, humid airmass that produced highs near 30°C just days earlier. Trader consensus around these values aligns with ensemble agreement on modest cooling without extreme polar outbreak conditions that would push readings to 8°C or below. Historical September climatology for the city (average low near 12°C) provides context, though the front’s timing and associated moisture add uncertainty to exact overnight minima measured at standard stations. Updated model runs and any INMET or local observatory observations on the 23rd remain the key near-term catalysts that could refine these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 23?
8°C or below 51%
14°C 43%
18°C or higher 43%
13°C 28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 23, 2026
8°C or below
51%
9°C
10%
10°C
9%
11°C
22%
12°C
22%
13°C
28%
14°C
39%
15°C
22%
16°C
21%
17°C
3%
18°C or higher
43%
8°C or below 51%
14°C 43%
18°C or higher 43%
13°C 28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 23, 2026
8°C or below
$50 ปริมาณ
51%
9°C
$40 ปริมาณ
10%
10°C
$8 ปริมาณ
9%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
14°C
$23 ปริมาณ
39%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
17°C
$25 ปริมาณ
3%
18°C or higher
$100 ปริมาณ
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A recent cold front advancing from southern Brazil has driven the sharp temperature drop expected in São Paulo on September 23, 2026, positioning 13–14°C as the leading market-implied outcomes for the daily minimum.** Official and model guidance from sources including Climatempo, INMET alerts, Met Office, and GFS runs consistently forecast overnight lows near 13°C under persistent southerly flow, cloud cover, and light rain or drizzle, with daytime highs limited to 15–17°C. This reflects the influx of cooler, drier polar-influenced air displacing the prior warm, humid airmass that produced highs near 30°C just days earlier.
Trader consensus around these values aligns with ensemble agreement on modest cooling without extreme polar outbreak conditions that would push readings to 8°C or below. Historical September climatology for the city (average low near 12°C) provides context, though the front’s timing and associated moisture add uncertainty to exact overnight minima measured at standard stations. Updated model runs and any INMET or local observatory observations on the 23rd remain the key near-term catalysts that could refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$247วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A recent cold front advancing from southern Brazil has driven the sharp temperature drop expected in São Paulo on September 23, 2026, positioning 13–14°C as the leading market-implied outcomes for the daily minimum.** Official and model guidance from sources including Climatempo, INMET alerts, Met Office, and GFS runs consistently forecast overnight lows near 13°C under persistent southerly flow, cloud cover, and light rain or drizzle, with daytime highs limited to 15–17°C. This reflects the influx of cooler, drier polar-influenced air displacing the prior warm, humid airmass that produced highs near 30°C just days earlier.
Trader consensus around these values aligns with ensemble agreement on modest cooling without extreme polar outbreak conditions that would push readings to 8°C or below. Historical September climatology for the city (average low near 12°C) provides context, though the front’s timing and associated moisture add uncertainty to exact overnight minima measured at standard stations. Updated model runs and any INMET or local observatory observations on the 23rd remain the key near-term catalysts that could refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$247วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**A recent cold front advancing from southern Brazil has driven the sharp temperature drop expected in São Paulo on September 23, 2026, positioning 13–14°C as the leading market-implied outcomes for the daily minimum.** Official and model guidance from sources including Climatempo, INMET alerts, Met Office, and GFS runs consistently forecast overnight lows near 13°C under persistent southerly flow, cloud cover, and light rain or drizzle, with daytime highs limited to 15–17°C. This reflects the influx of cooler, drier polar-influenced air displacing the prior warm, humid airmass that produced highs near 30°C just days earlier. Trader consensus around these values aligns with ensemble agreement on modest cooling without extreme polar outbreak conditions that would push readings to 8°C or below. Historical September climatology for the city (average low near 12°C) provides context, though the front’s timing and associated moisture add uncertainty to exact overnight minima measured at standard stations. Updated model runs and any INMET or local observatory observations on the 23rd remain the key near-term catalysts that could refine these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย