Persistent high pressure and a stalled frontal boundary have sustained hot, humid conditions across southeast Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts showing Houston’s September 23 low near 80°F under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds. Model consensus from recent runs indicates minimal overnight cooling as dew points remain in the low 70s, keeping the daily minimum firmly in the upper 70s. Historical late-September averages hover around 72–74°F, yet the current ridge has produced lows 6–8°F above normal for the past week. The closely matched market-implied odds around the 71°F threshold versus higher ranges reflect trader focus on whether any subtle wind shift or increased cloud cover could allow slightly more radiational cooling before resolution. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles will clarify if the pattern holds through the 48-hour window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Houston on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Houston on September 23?
71°F or below 99%
90°F or higher 98%
78-79°F 40%
80-81°F 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 23, 2026
71°F or below
99%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
39%
88-89°F
39%
90°F or higher
98%
71°F or below 99%
90°F or higher 98%
78-79°F 40%
80-81°F 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 23, 2026
71°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
99%
72-73°F
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
78-79°F
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
82-83°F
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
84-85°F
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
86-87°F
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
88-89°F
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
90°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and a stalled frontal boundary have sustained hot, humid conditions across southeast Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts showing Houston’s September 23 low near 80°F under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds. Model consensus from recent runs indicates minimal overnight cooling as dew points remain in the low 70s, keeping the daily minimum firmly in the upper 70s. Historical late-September averages hover around 72–74°F, yet the current ridge has produced lows 6–8°F above normal for the past week. The closely matched market-implied odds around the 71°F threshold versus higher ranges reflect trader focus on whether any subtle wind shift or increased cloud cover could allow slightly more radiational cooling before resolution. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles will clarify if the pattern holds through the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 21, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 21, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and a stalled frontal boundary have sustained hot, humid conditions across southeast Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts showing Houston’s September 23 low near 80°F under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds. Model consensus from recent runs indicates minimal overnight cooling as dew points remain in the low 70s, keeping the daily minimum firmly in the upper 70s. Historical late-September averages hover around 72–74°F, yet the current ridge has produced lows 6–8°F above normal for the past week. The closely matched market-implied odds around the 71°F threshold versus higher ranges reflect trader focus on whether any subtle wind shift or increased cloud cover could allow slightly more radiational cooling before resolution. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles will clarify if the pattern holds through the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 21, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and a stalled frontal boundary have sustained hot, humid conditions across southeast Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts showing Houston’s September 23 low near 80°F under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds. Model consensus from recent runs indicates minimal overnight cooling as dew points remain in the low 70s, keeping the daily minimum firmly in the upper 70s. Historical late-September averages hover around 72–74°F, yet the current ridge has produced lows 6–8°F above normal for the past week. The closely matched market-implied odds around the 71°F threshold versus higher ranges reflect trader focus on whether any subtle wind shift or increased cloud cover could allow slightly more radiational cooling before resolution. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles will clarify if the pattern holds through the 48-hour window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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