Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a Denver high near 87°F on August 5 amid moderating high pressure, patchy smoke, and a 20% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that could limit peak heating. The near-even split between 86–87°F and 88–89°F outcomes reflects small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, wind speeds, and exact cloud timing, which can shift maximum temperatures by 1–3°F. Historical August normals around 88–90°F provide context, while the post-heat-wave cooling trend and smoke-reduced insolation support the market’s tight clustering rather than higher bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine these variables before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Denver on August 5?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 5?
88-89°F 33%
86-87°F 32%
84-85°F 22%
82-83°F 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 5, 2026
75°F or below
2%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
32%
88-89°F
33%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
2%
94°F or higher
2%
88-89°F 33%
86-87°F 32%
84-85°F 22%
82-83°F 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 5, 2026
75°F or below
$1 ปริมาณ
2%
76-77°F
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
78-79°F
$115 ปริมาณ
1%
80-81°F
$149 ปริมาณ
2%
82-83°F
$132 ปริมาณ
10%
84-85°F
$230 ปริมาณ
22%
86-87°F
$122 ปริมาณ
32%
88-89°F
$282 ปริมาณ
33%
90-91°F
$91 ปริมาณ
3%
92-93°F
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
94°F or higher
$21 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a Denver high near 87°F on August 5 amid moderating high pressure, patchy smoke, and a 20% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that could limit peak heating. The near-even split between 86–87°F and 88–89°F outcomes reflects small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, wind speeds, and exact cloud timing, which can shift maximum temperatures by 1–3°F. Historical August normals around 88–90°F provide context, while the post-heat-wave cooling trend and smoke-reduced insolation support the market’s tight clustering rather than higher bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine these variables before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,163วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a Denver high near 87°F on August 5 amid moderating high pressure, patchy smoke, and a 20% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that could limit peak heating. The near-even split between 86–87°F and 88–89°F outcomes reflects small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, wind speeds, and exact cloud timing, which can shift maximum temperatures by 1–3°F. Historical August normals around 88–90°F provide context, while the post-heat-wave cooling trend and smoke-reduced insolation support the market’s tight clustering rather than higher bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine these variables before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,163วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a Denver high near 87°F on August 5 amid moderating high pressure, patchy smoke, and a 20% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that could limit peak heating. The near-even split between 86–87°F and 88–89°F outcomes reflects small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, wind speeds, and exact cloud timing, which can shift maximum temperatures by 1–3°F. Historical August normals around 88–90°F provide context, while the post-heat-wave cooling trend and smoke-reduced insolation support the market’s tight clustering rather than higher bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine these variables before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย