**Current forecasts and recent model consensus position 27–29°C as the most probable range for Shanghai’s overnight low on August 6, 2026.** Typical early-August climatology shows nighttime minima of 25–28°C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon, high humidity, and urban heat retention, with recent daily observations recording lows of 26–28°C amid daytime highs of 34–37°C. Ensemble guidance from operational centers indicates a continuation of this pattern, with light winds, variable cloud cover, and possible scattered showers limiting radiative cooling and keeping the minimum near 27–28°C. No major synoptic shifts—such as a passing cold front, typhoon landfall, or significant change in steering flow—have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours, so market-implied probabilities remain anchored to these stable, near-climatological values. Updated short-range model runs and official guidance issued in the next 12–24 hours will provide the final confirmation ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 6?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 6?
28°C 48%
29°C 26%
27°C 19%
26°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 6, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
8%
27°C
19%
28°C
48%
29°C
26%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 48%
29°C 26%
27°C 19%
26°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 6, 2026
22°C or below
$353 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$155 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$241 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$571 ปริมาณ
3%
26°C
$278 ปริมาณ
8%
27°C
$585 ปริมาณ
19%
28°C
$794 ปริมาณ
48%
29°C
$790 ปริมาณ
26%
30°C
$196 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$149 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C or higher
$149 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts and recent model consensus position 27–29°C as the most probable range for Shanghai’s overnight low on August 6, 2026.** Typical early-August climatology shows nighttime minima of 25–28°C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon, high humidity, and urban heat retention, with recent daily observations recording lows of 26–28°C amid daytime highs of 34–37°C. Ensemble guidance from operational centers indicates a continuation of this pattern, with light winds, variable cloud cover, and possible scattered showers limiting radiative cooling and keeping the minimum near 27–28°C. No major synoptic shifts—such as a passing cold front, typhoon landfall, or significant change in steering flow—have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours, so market-implied probabilities remain anchored to these stable, near-climatological values. Updated short-range model runs and official guidance issued in the next 12–24 hours will provide the final confirmation ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,261วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts and recent model consensus position 27–29°C as the most probable range for Shanghai’s overnight low on August 6, 2026.** Typical early-August climatology shows nighttime minima of 25–28°C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon, high humidity, and urban heat retention, with recent daily observations recording lows of 26–28°C amid daytime highs of 34–37°C. Ensemble guidance from operational centers indicates a continuation of this pattern, with light winds, variable cloud cover, and possible scattered showers limiting radiative cooling and keeping the minimum near 27–28°C. No major synoptic shifts—such as a passing cold front, typhoon landfall, or significant change in steering flow—have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours, so market-implied probabilities remain anchored to these stable, near-climatological values. Updated short-range model runs and official guidance issued in the next 12–24 hours will provide the final confirmation ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,261วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts and recent model consensus position 27–29°C as the most probable range for Shanghai’s overnight low on August 6, 2026.** Typical early-August climatology shows nighttime minima of 25–28°C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon, high humidity, and urban heat retention, with recent daily observations recording lows of 26–28°C amid daytime highs of 34–37°C. Ensemble guidance from operational centers indicates a continuation of this pattern, with light winds, variable cloud cover, and possible scattered showers limiting radiative cooling and keeping the minimum near 27–28°C. No major synoptic shifts—such as a passing cold front, typhoon landfall, or significant change in steering flow—have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours, so market-implied probabilities remain anchored to these stable, near-climatological values. Updated short-range model runs and official guidance issued in the next 12–24 hours will provide the final confirmation ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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