Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow moderating coastal temperatures in Los Angeles for August 3, positioning the 78–79°F range as the leading market outcome at 45% implied probability. Early August climatology features average downtown highs near 83–85°F, yet recent high-pressure patterns combined with relatively cooler near-shore Pacific waters have supported lower maxima in the upper 70s during the past several days. Trader consensus reflects this setup over warmer scenarios, with limited model spread expected until the next NWS update cycle refines boundary-layer details and any potential afternoon clearing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 3?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 3?
78-79°F 45%
76-77°F 27%
80-81°F 20%
74-75°F 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 3, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
45%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 45%
76-77°F 27%
80-81°F 20%
74-75°F 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 3, 2026
71°F or below
$122 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$458 ปริมาณ
1%
74-75°F
$102 ปริมาณ
5%
76-77°F
$1,655 ปริมาณ
27%
78-79°F
$748 ปริมาณ
45%
80-81°F
$1,026 ปริมาณ
20%
82-83°F
$342 ปริมาณ
3%
84-85°F
$197 ปริมาณ
2%
86-87°F
$219 ปริมาณ
1%
88-89°F
$176 ปริมาณ
1%
90°F or higher
$180 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow moderating coastal temperatures in Los Angeles for August 3, positioning the 78–79°F range as the leading market outcome at 45% implied probability. Early August climatology features average downtown highs near 83–85°F, yet recent high-pressure patterns combined with relatively cooler near-shore Pacific waters have supported lower maxima in the upper 70s during the past several days. Trader consensus reflects this setup over warmer scenarios, with limited model spread expected until the next NWS update cycle refines boundary-layer details and any potential afternoon clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,226วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow moderating coastal temperatures in Los Angeles for August 3, positioning the 78–79°F range as the leading market outcome at 45% implied probability. Early August climatology features average downtown highs near 83–85°F, yet recent high-pressure patterns combined with relatively cooler near-shore Pacific waters have supported lower maxima in the upper 70s during the past several days. Trader consensus reflects this setup over warmer scenarios, with limited model spread expected until the next NWS update cycle refines boundary-layer details and any potential afternoon clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,226วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow moderating coastal temperatures in Los Angeles for August 3, positioning the 78–79°F range as the leading market outcome at 45% implied probability. Early August climatology features average downtown highs near 83–85°F, yet recent high-pressure patterns combined with relatively cooler near-shore Pacific waters have supported lower maxima in the upper 70s during the past several days. Trader consensus reflects this setup over warmer scenarios, with limited model spread expected until the next NWS update cycle refines boundary-layer details and any potential afternoon clearing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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