Latest short-range forecast guidance from global and regional models places Guangzhou's peak temperature on August 6 near 36–37 °C, with the narrow split in market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty over afternoon cloud cover, shower timing, and urban heat retention. In this humid subtropical monsoon climate, typical August maxima average 33–34 °C, but brief clear periods or suppressed convection can push readings 2–4 °C higher, while widespread rain or thicker cloud decks cap them lower. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, and traders appear to weight the latest model runs showing a mix of partly cloudy skies and isolated thunderstorms that could determine whether the daily high settles at the lower or upper end of the favored range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 6?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 6?
36°C 47%
37°C 37%
35°C 12%
38°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 6, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
6%
35°C
12%
36°C
47%
37°C
37%
38°C
8%
39°C or higher
5%
36°C 47%
37°C 37%
35°C 12%
38°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 6, 2026
29°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C
$52 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C
$145 ปริมาณ
4%
34°C
$20 ปริมาณ
6%
35°C
$10 ปริมาณ
12%
36°C
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
37°C
$63 ปริมาณ
37%
38°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
39°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range forecast guidance from global and regional models places Guangzhou's peak temperature on August 6 near 36–37 °C, with the narrow split in market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty over afternoon cloud cover, shower timing, and urban heat retention. In this humid subtropical monsoon climate, typical August maxima average 33–34 °C, but brief clear periods or suppressed convection can push readings 2–4 °C higher, while widespread rain or thicker cloud decks cap them lower. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, and traders appear to weight the latest model runs showing a mix of partly cloudy skies and isolated thunderstorms that could determine whether the daily high settles at the lower or upper end of the favored range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$289วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range forecast guidance from global and regional models places Guangzhou's peak temperature on August 6 near 36–37 °C, with the narrow split in market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty over afternoon cloud cover, shower timing, and urban heat retention. In this humid subtropical monsoon climate, typical August maxima average 33–34 °C, but brief clear periods or suppressed convection can push readings 2–4 °C higher, while widespread rain or thicker cloud decks cap them lower. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, and traders appear to weight the latest model runs showing a mix of partly cloudy skies and isolated thunderstorms that could determine whether the daily high settles at the lower or upper end of the favored range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$289วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecast guidance from global and regional models places Guangzhou's peak temperature on August 6 near 36–37 °C, with the narrow split in market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty over afternoon cloud cover, shower timing, and urban heat retention. In this humid subtropical monsoon climate, typical August maxima average 33–34 °C, but brief clear periods or suppressed convection can push readings 2–4 °C higher, while widespread rain or thicker cloud decks cap them lower. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, and traders appear to weight the latest model runs showing a mix of partly cloudy skies and isolated thunderstorms that could determine whether the daily high settles at the lower or upper end of the favored range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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