**Recent meteorological guidance and model consensus position 33–34°C as the most probable maximum temperatures for Karachi on August 6, 2026.** August climatology for the city shows average daily highs near 32°C, with typical ranges of 31–34°C under the influence of the southwest monsoon. Current extended-range forecasts, including those from AccuWeather, indicate highs between 31.2°C and 34.9°C for the month, while specific outlooks for August 6 point to around 33°C amid partly cloudy conditions and moderate southwesterly flow. **The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) has highlighted near-normal to slightly above-normal temperatures across southern regions during this period, with intermittent monsoon rainfall expected to limit extreme heating.** Recent heavy rain episodes in early August have already moderated daytime maxima through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, reducing the likelihood of outliers above 35°C. These factors—monsoon steering patterns, seasonal baselines, and the latest model runs—explain why traders have concentrated probability on the narrow 33–34°C band while assigning low odds to both cooler (below 32°C) and hotter (36°C+) outcomes. Updated PMD briefings and refined model guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term drivers that could shift implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Karachi on August 6?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 6?
33°C 45%
34°C 29%
32°C 24%
31°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
24%
33°C
45%
34°C
29%
35°C
3%
36°C
5%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 45%
34°C 29%
32°C 24%
31°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$14 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$89 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$51 ปริมาณ
5%
32°C
$85 ปริมาณ
24%
33°C
$143 ปริมาณ
45%
34°C
$8 ปริมาณ
29%
35°C
$10 ปริมาณ
3%
36°C
$10 ปริมาณ
5%
37°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent meteorological guidance and model consensus position 33–34°C as the most probable maximum temperatures for Karachi on August 6, 2026.** August climatology for the city shows average daily highs near 32°C, with typical ranges of 31–34°C under the influence of the southwest monsoon. Current extended-range forecasts, including those from AccuWeather, indicate highs between 31.2°C and 34.9°C for the month, while specific outlooks for August 6 point to around 33°C amid partly cloudy conditions and moderate southwesterly flow.
**The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) has highlighted near-normal to slightly above-normal temperatures across southern regions during this period, with intermittent monsoon rainfall expected to limit extreme heating.** Recent heavy rain episodes in early August have already moderated daytime maxima through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, reducing the likelihood of outliers above 35°C. These factors—monsoon steering patterns, seasonal baselines, and the latest model runs—explain why traders have concentrated probability on the narrow 33–34°C band while assigning low odds to both cooler (below 32°C) and hotter (36°C+) outcomes. Updated PMD briefings and refined model guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term drivers that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$435วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent meteorological guidance and model consensus position 33–34°C as the most probable maximum temperatures for Karachi on August 6, 2026.** August climatology for the city shows average daily highs near 32°C, with typical ranges of 31–34°C under the influence of the southwest monsoon. Current extended-range forecasts, including those from AccuWeather, indicate highs between 31.2°C and 34.9°C for the month, while specific outlooks for August 6 point to around 33°C amid partly cloudy conditions and moderate southwesterly flow.
**The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) has highlighted near-normal to slightly above-normal temperatures across southern regions during this period, with intermittent monsoon rainfall expected to limit extreme heating.** Recent heavy rain episodes in early August have already moderated daytime maxima through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, reducing the likelihood of outliers above 35°C. These factors—monsoon steering patterns, seasonal baselines, and the latest model runs—explain why traders have concentrated probability on the narrow 33–34°C band while assigning low odds to both cooler (below 32°C) and hotter (36°C+) outcomes. Updated PMD briefings and refined model guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term drivers that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$435วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent meteorological guidance and model consensus position 33–34°C as the most probable maximum temperatures for Karachi on August 6, 2026.** August climatology for the city shows average daily highs near 32°C, with typical ranges of 31–34°C under the influence of the southwest monsoon. Current extended-range forecasts, including those from AccuWeather, indicate highs between 31.2°C and 34.9°C for the month, while specific outlooks for August 6 point to around 33°C amid partly cloudy conditions and moderate southwesterly flow. **The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) has highlighted near-normal to slightly above-normal temperatures across southern regions during this period, with intermittent monsoon rainfall expected to limit extreme heating.** Recent heavy rain episodes in early August have already moderated daytime maxima through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, reducing the likelihood of outliers above 35°C. These factors—monsoon steering patterns, seasonal baselines, and the latest model runs—explain why traders have concentrated probability on the narrow 33–34°C band while assigning low odds to both cooler (below 32°C) and hotter (36°C+) outcomes. Updated PMD briefings and refined model guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term drivers that could shift implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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