Meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service position 32°C or 33°C as the most probable maximum temperatures for Tel Aviv on August 6, aligning with the market's 59% and 29% implied probabilities. Typical early-August conditions feature high pressure, light winds, and clear skies that support daytime heating to the low 30s Celsius along the Mediterranean coast, consistent with climatological averages near 31°C. Short-range model consensus shows limited variability, though minor shifts in timing of peak insolation or sea breeze could nudge the exact high. Traders weighting real-capital bets on these outcomes reflect aggregated assessment of forecast reliability ahead of final observational data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 6?
32°C 59%
33°C 30%
31°C 6%
34°C 6%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
59%
33°C
30%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 59%
33°C 30%
31°C 6%
34°C 6%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
59%
33°C
30%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service position 32°C or 33°C as the most probable maximum temperatures for Tel Aviv on August 6, aligning with the market's 59% and 29% implied probabilities. Typical early-August conditions feature high pressure, light winds, and clear skies that support daytime heating to the low 30s Celsius along the Mediterranean coast, consistent with climatological averages near 31°C. Short-range model consensus shows limited variability, though minor shifts in timing of peak insolation or sea breeze could nudge the exact high. Traders weighting real-capital bets on these outcomes reflect aggregated assessment of forecast reliability ahead of final observational data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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