Current model consensus from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global forecasts points to a maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 7 under typical summer high-pressure conditions with clear skies and moderating Mediterranean sea breezes. This aligns closely with the month’s 30–31°C climatological average for daily highs and explains why these two outcomes dominate market-implied probabilities. Recent short-range runs show minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming heatwave or significant synoptic shift, keeping uncertainty low as the date approaches. Traders weigh the narrow forecast spread against resolution criteria centered on official maximum temperature readings, with limited upside risk for 33°C or higher given stable steering patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 7?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 7?
32°C 56%
31°C 29%
33°C 15%
37°C 2%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 7, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
29%
32°C
56%
33°C
15%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 56%
31°C 29%
33°C 15%
37°C 2%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 7, 2026
28°C or below
$490 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$25 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$86 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$35 ปริมาณ
29%
32°C
$73 ปริมาณ
56%
33°C
$47 ปริมาณ
15%
34°C
$35 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C
$9 ปริมาณ
2%
36°C
$9 ปริมาณ
2%
37°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
38°C or higher
$55 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global forecasts points to a maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 7 under typical summer high-pressure conditions with clear skies and moderating Mediterranean sea breezes. This aligns closely with the month’s 30–31°C climatological average for daily highs and explains why these two outcomes dominate market-implied probabilities. Recent short-range runs show minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming heatwave or significant synoptic shift, keeping uncertainty low as the date approaches. Traders weigh the narrow forecast spread against resolution criteria centered on official maximum temperature readings, with limited upside risk for 33°C or higher given stable steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$870วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global forecasts points to a maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 7 under typical summer high-pressure conditions with clear skies and moderating Mediterranean sea breezes. This aligns closely with the month’s 30–31°C climatological average for daily highs and explains why these two outcomes dominate market-implied probabilities. Recent short-range runs show minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming heatwave or significant synoptic shift, keeping uncertainty low as the date approaches. Traders weigh the narrow forecast spread against resolution criteria centered on official maximum temperature readings, with limited upside risk for 33°C or higher given stable steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$870วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global forecasts points to a maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 7 under typical summer high-pressure conditions with clear skies and moderating Mediterranean sea breezes. This aligns closely with the month’s 30–31°C climatological average for daily highs and explains why these two outcomes dominate market-implied probabilities. Recent short-range runs show minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming heatwave or significant synoptic shift, keeping uncertainty low as the date approaches. Traders weigh the narrow forecast spread against resolution criteria centered on official maximum temperature readings, with limited upside risk for 33°C or higher given stable steering patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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