Recent official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights persistent high pressure and elevated humidity levels across the Seoul-Incheon region, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 27–29 °C for the August 6 morning low. Coastal moderation from Incheon’s marine influence and the urban heat island effect in Seoul create narrow ranges in forecast model outputs, with ensemble spreads reflecting minor variations in expected cloud cover and wind speeds that differentiate these closely matched outcomes. Historical August baselines show typical overnight lows near 22–25 °C, yet current conditions suggest reduced cooling efficiency. Updated KMA and global model runs ahead of the event will likely refine probabilities as atmospheric steering patterns evolve.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 6?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 6?
28°C 33%
27°C 20%
29°C 16%
30°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 6, 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
9%
27°C
20%
28°C
32%
29°C
16%
30°C
10%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 33%
27°C 20%
29°C 16%
30°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 6, 2026
23°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
27°C
$46 ปริมาณ
20%
28°C
$5 ปริมาณ
32%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
31°C
$42 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$20 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights persistent high pressure and elevated humidity levels across the Seoul-Incheon region, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 27–29 °C for the August 6 morning low. Coastal moderation from Incheon’s marine influence and the urban heat island effect in Seoul create narrow ranges in forecast model outputs, with ensemble spreads reflecting minor variations in expected cloud cover and wind speeds that differentiate these closely matched outcomes. Historical August baselines show typical overnight lows near 22–25 °C, yet current conditions suggest reduced cooling efficiency. Updated KMA and global model runs ahead of the event will likely refine probabilities as atmospheric steering patterns evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$113วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights persistent high pressure and elevated humidity levels across the Seoul-Incheon region, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 27–29 °C for the August 6 morning low. Coastal moderation from Incheon’s marine influence and the urban heat island effect in Seoul create narrow ranges in forecast model outputs, with ensemble spreads reflecting minor variations in expected cloud cover and wind speeds that differentiate these closely matched outcomes. Historical August baselines show typical overnight lows near 22–25 °C, yet current conditions suggest reduced cooling efficiency. Updated KMA and global model runs ahead of the event will likely refine probabilities as atmospheric steering patterns evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$113วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights persistent high pressure and elevated humidity levels across the Seoul-Incheon region, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 27–29 °C for the August 6 morning low. Coastal moderation from Incheon’s marine influence and the urban heat island effect in Seoul create narrow ranges in forecast model outputs, with ensemble spreads reflecting minor variations in expected cloud cover and wind speeds that differentiate these closely matched outcomes. Historical August baselines show typical overnight lows near 22–25 °C, yet current conditions suggest reduced cooling efficiency. Updated KMA and global model runs ahead of the event will likely refine probabilities as atmospheric steering patterns evolve.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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