Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for San Francisco on August 3 point to a high near 76°F under sunny conditions with light onshore flow, establishing the market's tilt toward the 76-77°F bin at 34.5% implied probability. Typical summer marine-layer influence and northwest winds are expected to moderate temperatures near seasonal norms of 68-72°F, while any temporary weakening of the onshore breeze or slight downslope warming could push readings into the upper 70s. The broad distribution across 72-81°F outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in short-range model runs regarding exact timing of wind shifts and boundary-layer mixing, with updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations on August 2 likely to refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 3?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 3?
76-77°F 35%
74-75°F 22%
78-79°F 20%
80-81°F 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 3, 2026
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 35%
74-75°F 22%
78-79°F 20%
80-81°F 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 3, 2026
69°F or below
$26 ปริมาณ
1%
70-71°F
$109 ปริมาณ
2%
72-73°F
$16 ปริมาณ
9%
74-75°F
$35 ปริมาณ
22%
76-77°F
$1,792 ปริมาณ
35%
78-79°F
$89 ปริมาณ
20%
80-81°F
$39 ปริมาณ
14%
82-83°F
$16 ปริมาณ
5%
84-85°F
$115 ปริมาณ
1%
86-87°F
$30 ปริมาณ
2%
88°F or higher
$221 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for San Francisco on August 3 point to a high near 76°F under sunny conditions with light onshore flow, establishing the market's tilt toward the 76-77°F bin at 34.5% implied probability. Typical summer marine-layer influence and northwest winds are expected to moderate temperatures near seasonal norms of 68-72°F, while any temporary weakening of the onshore breeze or slight downslope warming could push readings into the upper 70s. The broad distribution across 72-81°F outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in short-range model runs regarding exact timing of wind shifts and boundary-layer mixing, with updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations on August 2 likely to refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,489วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for San Francisco on August 3 point to a high near 76°F under sunny conditions with light onshore flow, establishing the market's tilt toward the 76-77°F bin at 34.5% implied probability. Typical summer marine-layer influence and northwest winds are expected to moderate temperatures near seasonal norms of 68-72°F, while any temporary weakening of the onshore breeze or slight downslope warming could push readings into the upper 70s. The broad distribution across 72-81°F outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in short-range model runs regarding exact timing of wind shifts and boundary-layer mixing, with updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations on August 2 likely to refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,489วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for San Francisco on August 3 point to a high near 76°F under sunny conditions with light onshore flow, establishing the market's tilt toward the 76-77°F bin at 34.5% implied probability. Typical summer marine-layer influence and northwest winds are expected to moderate temperatures near seasonal norms of 68-72°F, while any temporary weakening of the onshore breeze or slight downslope warming could push readings into the upper 70s. The broad distribution across 72-81°F outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in short-range model runs regarding exact timing of wind shifts and boundary-layer mixing, with updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations on August 2 likely to refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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